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Ravens vs Rams NFL betting picks and predictions: Back Baltimore’s fast starts

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The red-hot Baltimore Ravens head to Los Angeles to face the Rams on Monday Night Football.

The Ravens have the NFL’s highest scoring offense thanks to MVP front-runner Lamar Jackson. They are fresh off a 41-7 rout of the Houston Texans and are riding a six-game winning streak into Week 12.

The 6-4 Rams are coming off a 17-7 victory against the Chicago Bears and have been winning with a tough defense led by two-time defensive player of the year Aaron Donald.

From the first snap to the final whistle we break down the odds for this primetime matchup with our best bets and predictions. **video



Baltimore has gotten out to quick starts throughout the year, averaging 8.5 points per game during the first quarter, the second-highest total in the league. Their defense is also strong in the opening quarter holding opponents to just 2.4 ppg, which ranks third in the NFL.

With the Rams scoring just 3.2 ppg in the first 15 minutes (26th in the league), bank on Baltimore taking a lead into the first break.

PICK: First Quarter Baltimore -0.5 (+115)


It’s rare to see in this era of wide-open passing attacks, but the Ravens are riding their ground game to the No.1 scoring offense in the league. Baltimore has the most rushing yards in the NFL with 203.1 per game, 54 yards per game more than second-place San Francisco.

The Rams do have an excellent run-defense holding opponents to just 89.1 rushing yards per game. But the Ravens don’t have a traditional running game, relying on the legs of Lamar Jackson who is doing things as a runner that no NFL quarterback has ever accomplished.

Jackson has rushed for 781 yards through the first ten games of the season, while surpassing 60 rushing yards in seven consecutive contests. Don’t expect the Rams defense to have their usual success against the run versus Jackson and company.

With the Ravens averaging a league-high 17.8 ppg in the first half, take the Over on the Ravens 1H team total of 12.5.

PICK: First Half Team Total – Baltimore Over 12.5 (-120)


While L.A. will have a hard time stopping Jackson in the running game, they should be able corral Ravens lead back Mark Ingram. Ingram has enjoyed a solid year rushing for 667 yards but has rushed for 52 yards or fewer in five of his last six games.

With backup Gus Edwards stealing some carries and the Rams holding opponents to just 3.3 yards per carry, take the Under on Ingram’s rushing total.

PICK: Mark Ingram Under 53.5 rushing yards


The Ravens have a very strong pass defense, ranking third in the league in defensive pass DVOA according to Football Outsiders. The Rams are holding opponents to just 19.8 points per game thanks in large part to the monster that is Aaron Donald. That said, there are a few reasons we like the Over on Monday night.

We mentioned that the Rams will be dealing with a unique threat in Jackson and even if they slow down the Ravens offense, a team total in the high 20s still seems likely. Not only does Baltimore lead the league with 34.1 ppg but they’ve scored 30 points in each of their last four games, which included a matchup with the Patriots.

As for the Rams, while Jared Goff has played poorly this season he should have all three of his top receivers healthy on Monday. Brandin Crooks cleared concussion protocol after missing the last three games and Robert Woods is expected to play after sitting out last week due to personal reasons.

The Rams offensive line has struggled this year but played well last week, not allowing a sack against a dangerous Bears pass rush. The line also opened up holes for Todd Gurley who rushed for 97 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries. If Gurley is trending back towards anything close to the All-Pro he was in 2017 and 2018, L.A. will be able to move the chains against a Ravens stop-unit that hasn’t played well against the run, ranking 25th in the league in defensive rush DVOA.

While this game might not be a shootout the total seems a tad too low. Bet the Over.

PICK: Over 46.5


The Rams have home-field advantage but Baltimore has been spectacular on the road. The Ravens are 4-1 in away games with an incredible scoring margin of plus-19.4 ppg.

Baltimore’s offense has been spectacular and Jackson has been able to beat teams with his feet and his arm, racking up 8.1 yards per pass attempt (sixth-best in the league) and throwing for 19 touchdowns against just five interceptions. His versatility should pose problems for the Rams defense.

On the other side of the ball, the Baltimore’s defense has been the best in the league since acquiring cornerback Marcus Peters in a trade from the Rams prior to Week 7. Since then they have won all four of their games by at least two touchdowns, and it’s not like they’ve been playing cupcakes. One of those victories was against Cincinnati but the other three wins came versus New England, Seattle and Houston.

Ride the hot hand and back the Ravens to cover.

PICK: Baltimore -3


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NFL Week 10 opening odds and early action: Book expects 49ers moneyline parlays/teasers vs. Seahawks

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An NFC West clash in the City by the Bay takes center stage for NFL Week 10. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action for that game and three others, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)

San Francisco puts its perfect record on the line in the Monday night game, which follows a mini-bye, as Kyle Shanahan’s squad played in the Week 9 Thursday nighter. The 49ers (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) took a 21-7 halftime lead at Arizona, then held on for a 27-24 victory as healthy 10.5-point road favorites.

The Niners are the NFL’s lone unbeaten team, after New England lost at Baltimore on Sunday night.

Seattle won five of its last six in working to keep pace with the Niners. In Week 9, the Seahawks (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) got stretched to overtime after a last-minute Tampa Bay touchdown, but got out with a 40-34 win and cover as 4-point home faves.

“We opened 49ers -6.5 and are still there,” Murray told Covers on Sunday night. “A lot of moneyline parlays and teasers are going to close with San Francisco. Seattle is not nearly as good as its record. Although in fairness, San Francisco probably isn’t either.”



Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Dallas returns from its bye week after snapping a three-game SU and ATS skid in Week 8. The Cowboys (4-3 SU and ATS) rumbled over Philadelphia 37-10 laying 3 points at home.

Meanwhile, Minnesota blew an opportunity to beat a Kansas City team that was minus Patrick Mahomes in Week 9. The Vikings (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) went off as 5.5-point road favorites and lost outright 26-23 on a final-seconds field goal.

“We opened Cowboys -3 (-110) and took some Vikings money, and we are now at -3 (even),” Murray said. “We will need the Vikings by kickoff.”

Which will be in prime time, as this is the Week 10 Sunday night game.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (-5)

Green Bay was a popular Week 9 play with sharps and the public, but saw its four-game win streak end. The Packers (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) were 4-point road favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers, yet never led in a 26-11 setback.

Carolina rebounded from a San Francisco slaughter while moving to 5-1 SU and ATS behind Kyle Allen, subbing for the injured Cam Newton. The Panthers (5-3 SU and ATS) topped Tennessee 30-20 giving 3.5 points at home in Week 9.

“We opened Packers -5 and are now at -5.5 off some bets,” Murray said. “The Packers are another team that isn’t as good as their record, and they were exposed a little this week by the Chargers.”

Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5)

At the season’s midway point, defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles finds itself looking up at two teams in the NFC West, San Francisco and Seattle. The Rams (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) had their bye in Week 9, after beating Cincinnati 24-10 as 12-point home favorites in Week 8.

Pittsburgh is doing what it can to salvage a season in which Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) was lost for the year in Week 2. The Steelers (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) squeaked by Indianapolis 26-24 as 1-point home favorites, winning after the Colts missed a late field goal.

“We opened Rams -3.5 and have been pushed up to -4,” Murray said. “The Rams will be one of the most public sides next week. Books will be Steelers fans.”

Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers.com. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.



NFL Week 5 odds: Book braces for public to come back strong on Chiefs at home vs Colts

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Week 5 of the NFL season has some intriguing matchups that are already seeing some line movement. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action for a quartet of contests, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5)

Kansas City is among just three remaining unbeaten teams, though just barely after Week 4. The Chiefs (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) overcame an early 10-0 deficit at Detroit, then got a last-minute touchdown to win a shootout 34-30 as 7.5-point favorites Sunday.

Indianapolis looked surprisingly good the first three weeks of the season, following the stunning retirement of quarterback Andrew Luck. But in Week 4, the Colts (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) trailed Oakland 14-0 early and never got closer than a touchdown in a 31-24 home loss as 5.5-point faves.

This matchup is in prime time Sunday night, and The SuperBook is bracing for public play on K.C.

“Kansas City was lucky to escape on the road in Detroit,” Murray said. “The Chiefs come home to face a Colts team off a very bad performance of their own in a home loss to the Raiders. Every parlay and teaser will close with K.C. next Sunday night.”

The Chiefs ticked up to -10 in the hour after this line went up, then shortly thereafter went back to -9.5.



Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5)

Green Bay was in a good spot to remain unbeaten in Week 4, playing at home in the Thursday nighter. But in a back-and-forth battle, the Packers (3-1 SU and ATS) couldn’t outlast Philadelphia, losing 34-27 as 3.5-point home favorites.

Dallas was also in prime time and aiming to remain perfect in Week 4, playing under the Sunday night spotlight at New Orleans. The Cowboys (3-1 SU and ATS) couldn’t find points, though, losing a defensive slog 12-10 laying 2.5 points.

“This game is off the board as the Cowboys play the Saints,” Murray said early Sunday evening, noting that prior to the Cowboys-Saints kickoff, The SuperBook posted Dallas -4.5 against Green Bay. “Both teams were probably a little overvalued off their 3-0 starts. We will learn a lot about the Packers in this game.”

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5)

Baltimore could have gained an early foothold on the AFC North, going off as 7.5-point home chalk against Cleveland on Sunday. However, the Ravens (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) gave up 30 second-half points in a 40-25 setback.

Pittsburgh lost QB Ben Roethlisberger to an elbow injury in Week 2 and is still seeking its first victory of the season. The Steelers (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) still have Week 4 work to do, as they host Cincinnati on Monday night. In Week 3 behind backup Mason Rudolph, Pittsburgh nearly pulled a road upset of San Francisco, falling 24-20 as 6-point pups.

“If the Steelers lose to the Bengals on ‘Monday Night Football,’ the line will go up and the public will come in very hard on the Ravens here,” Murray said. “Either way, we will need the ‘dog pretty big.”

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (Pick)

Defending NFC champion Los Angeles fell from the unbeaten ranks in stunning fashion, giving up a 50-plus burger as nearly double-digit Week 4 chalk. The Rams (3-1 SU and ATS) trailed Tampa Bay 21-0 midway through the second quarter, rallied within 45-40 midway through the fourth, but ultimately lost 55-40 giving 9 points at home.

Meanwhile, Seattle bounced back from a Week 3 upset home loss to a New Orleans team minus Drew Brees. The Seahawks (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) went to Arizona as 5.5-point favorites Sunday and exited with an easy 27-10 victory.

Both teams operate on a short week for this Thursday night NFC West clash.

“A nightmare game for the Rams’ defense against Tampa,” Murray said. “The public will likely look to back the Rams anyway. Our look-ahead number closed Rams -2.5.”

The game then reopened Sunday afternoon as a pick ‘em and moved to Rams -1 an hour later. Shortly thereafter, the line went back to pick.

Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.