Getty Images

Odds to win the 2020 MLB home run title

Leave a comment

Nothing excites baseball fans as much as a home run; the crack of the bat, the gasp of the crowd as the ball soars over the wall, followed by the hitter flicking his bat away and trotting around the bases. Sportsbooks have put out odds for which MLB player will win the home run title in 2020 and there are no shortage of candidates.

With more balls flying out the park than ever before – a record 6,776 home runs were mashed around the majors in 2019, 11 percent more than the previous record – there are a ton of sluggers with staggering home run potential across both the AL and NL.

Three-time MVP Mike Trout is the betting favorite (+900) after coming off a career-high 45 home runs in 2019, despite playing in just 134 games. Just behind Trout is last year’s MLB home run leader Pete Alonso (+1,000) who cranked 53 homers as a rookie. Pitchers will be more cautious about pitching to the Mets slugger in year two.

Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge had seen his odds to win the home run title plummit after news that he has a stress fracture in his right rib, but the delay to the regular season has helped him climb back to +1,400.

The odds board is absolutely dripping with young talent with 21-year-olds Vladimir Guerrero Jr and Juan Soto, 22 year-olds Yordan Alvarez and Ronald Acuna Jr, and 23-year-olds Eloy Jimenez and Gleyber Torres all featuring in the Top 20.

Alvarez cranked 27 homers in just 87 games for the Astros last season while Jimenez knocked 31 balls out the park in 122 contests with the White Sox. Guerrero Jr hit only 15 round-trippers in 123 games but displayed eye-opening power which has fans in Toronto drooling. Padres sophomore Fernando Tatis Jr is off the odds board despite jacking 22 dingers in just 84 games as a 20-year-old in 2019.

Here are the 20 players with the best odds to win the 2020 MLB home run title:


Players Odds to win (as of March 24)
Mike Trout +900
Pete Alonso +1,000
Joey Gallo +1,200
Christian Yelich +1,200
Aaron Judge +1,400
Cody Bellinger +1,400
Yordan Alvarez +1,400
Eloy Jimenez +1,600
Ronald Acuna Jr. +1,800
Nolan Arenado +1,800
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +2,000
Miguel Sano +2,000
GIancarlo Stanton +2,000
Juan Soto +2,000
Matt Olson +2,200
Jorge Soler +2,500
Eugenio Suarez +2,500
Bryce Harper +2,500
Gleyber Torres +3,000
JD Martinez +3,300

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

Getty Images
Leave a comment

MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook

MLB picks and predictions for Opening Day

Getty Images
Leave a comment

It was a long and scary road, but we finally get MLB betting back on Thursday, July 23. Opening Day of the pandemic-shortened 60-game baseball schedule is headlined by a pair of matchups, with the New York Yankees visiting the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers rekindling their rivalry with the San Francisco Giants.

Like we do each MLB season (COVID-19 or not), we’ll be taking a swing at today’s baseball odds and giving our best MLB picks and predictions. Up first: Opening Day 2020.

MLB picks for today

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was supposed to miss the start of the season back in the spring, but the delay to the 2020 campaign allowed the outfielder to heal up from broken ribs and return to his longball-launching self.

Judge looked great in New York’s warmup games, albeit for a limited number of at-bats. He went 3-for-7 with all three hits leaving the ballpark. And he wasn’t alone, with the Yankees’ other power bats providing plenty of pop around him in the order. He’ll get a chance to go yard again on Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Aaron Judge home run (+210)

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants are no strangers to Clayton Kershaw, who has long dominated the Dodgers’ divisional foes. In 49 career appearances against San Francisco, The Claw is 23-12 with a 1.74 ERA and has allowed just 0.71 hits per innings pitched in those starts.

The Giants don’t pose much of an offensive threat, averaging 8.22 hits per game in 2019. San Francisco has managed 45 total hits in its last eight starts against Kershaw – an average of 0.86 hits per inning faced. Given the Dodgers’ ace looked ready for work in his tune-up efforts, we could see him go seven innings or more on Thursday, panning out to a little over six hits for San Fran.

PREDICTION: Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)

Mookie Betts has reportedly landed a whale of a contract extension with the Dodgers after joining the ballclub this offseason via a trade with the Boston Red Sox. And what better way to lock down that deal than an impressive effort on Opening Day.

Betts recorded 313 total bases in 2019 (30th) and 353 in 2018 (fourth). He’s been swinging well in training sessions this offseason: in 27 at-bats during the spring/summer schedule, he has 13 total bases, including two doubles and a home run, while hitting leadoff during Summer Camp. We like that to continue into Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)

Top MLB consensus for today

Want to know who today’s biggest MLB betting and consensus bets are right now? Check out our top MLB consensus picks.

Opening Day betting card

  • Aaron Judge home run (+210)
  • Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)
  • Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)