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NHL predictions and betting odds: Running with the Devils

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We are coming down the stretch of regular season NHL betting on the schedule, with postseason races picking up steam this week. Josh Inglis body checks the NHL odds, giving you his best picks and predictions on the ice.

COLORADO AVALANCHE AT LOS ANGELES KINGS

NOT TOO LATE TO CROWN THEM

The Los Angeles Kings have ripped off five straight wins against some of the league’s best teams and host the Avalanche on Monday. Over the winning streak, the Kings have outscored their opponents 16-6 and face a Colorado team that has conceded 10 goals in its last two games.

The Kings have taken three of four points in the previous two matchups this year with the Under hitting comfortably in both those contests. We may be getting on the Kings’ train a little late, but with wins of +260, +155 and +125 in their last three it might be worth a half-unit or more to take L.A. on the moneyline as home underdogs on Monday, especially with the Avs on the backend of a back-to-back.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING AT TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS

LIGHTNING TO ZAP LEAFS’ OFFENSE

The Toronto Maple Leafs return home on Tuesday after a three-game California trip that saw them gain just one of six points. The Buds’ offense has turned stagnant as the usually high-scoring club has potted just three goals in its last three games. The offense will have to find a solution as Tuesday’s opponents, the Tampa Bay Lightning, have scored 10 goals in the two meetings with the Leafs this year.

The Lightning are coming off a huge win on Saturday versus the Bruins and have an 18-4 SU record versus the Atlantic division this year. Toronto, on the other hand, has played to an 11-10 SU record against the Atlantic this year. We are taking the Lightning on the moneyline in what should be decent odds for the away team.

PITTSBURGH PENGUINS AT NEW JERSEY DEVILS

RUNNING WITH THE DEVILS

If you are looking for an underdog on Tuesday’s eight-game slate, maybe New Jersey is your team. The Devils host a struggling Pittsburgh Penguins team that has lost its two most recent games by a combined score of 11-4. New Jersey has ripped off five straight wins on home ice which includes wins against the Capitals and Blues.

The surprisingly competitive play from the Devils has a lot to do with its goaltending. Teams have only been scoring 2.44 goals per game in New Jersey since the beginning of February and the team sits second in scoring chance save percentage, fourth in high-danger save percentage and fourth in overall save percentage over that time. We are running with Devils on the moneyline Tuesday night.

NEW YORK RANGERS AT COLORADO AVALANCHE

INTERCONFERENCE SCORING

Sometimes when we are looking for Overs late in the season, digging into interconference games is the best bet. Wednesday brings us an East versus West matchup in the New York Rangers and the Colorado Avalanche. Both teams are scoring and giving up nearly three goals per game over their last five with the Rangers having conceded a league-high 24 goals in their last five. New York has also hit the Over in five straight away games and is 7-2 O/U in its last nine away games versus the West.

Colorado was riding some of the league’s best goaltending but the Avs have looked sloppy defensively of late giving up 13 goals in its last three. Their offense has also turned a bit of a corner having netted three goals or more in five of its last six. We think this game can easily get to 3-3 so we are riding the Over 6 with confidence on Wednesday.

GOALIE PROFILE: JUUSE SAROS, NASHVILLE PREDATORS

Juuse Saros has taken over the No. 1 spot in Nashville as he has started 14 of the Predators’ last 20 games. Over those 14 games, the young goaltender has a 10-4 record with three shutouts including back-to-back blankings of the Stars last Thursday and Saturday.

The Under has hit in Saros’ last three games and Nashville is 0-3 O/U in its last three away games ahead of its road trip that will see stops in Montreal on Tuesday, Toronto on Thursday and Columbus on Saturday. We are riding the Preds’ new recipe for victory which is to keep the scoring to a minimum. Nashville is on strict Under protocol going forward.

INJURY UPDATE: VICTOR HEDMAN D, TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

The Lightning may be without stud defenseman Victor Hedman for Tuesday’s match with the Toronto Maple Leafs. Hedman is nearly a point-per-game d-man and captain of the powerplay. The veteran is dealing with a lower-body injury and already missed Sunday’s game against the Red Wings.

Tampa Bay has scored 47 powerplay goals on the year with Hedman getting a point on 22 them. With the team scoring on the PP at 26 percent over the last three weeks, we are expecting a regression with the man advantage. The Lighting may be a good team to back the Under with Hedman on the shelf, especially while on the road as they are 15-18-1 O/U away from Tampa on the season.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• The underdogs crushed it over the last seven days going 27-20 SU for 57.2 percent. Home dogs led the charge with an 11-6 record for an impressive 64 percent. Over the last month, dogs have been hitting at 45 percent and 44 percent across the season.
• The Dallas Stars have the best Under record on home ice in the league. On the year, the Stars are 8-24-1 O/U at home and host the New York Rangers on Tuesday. The New York Islanders have one of the best away Under records as they sit 9-19-4 O/U on the road this year. They travel to Vancouver on Tuesday.
• Looking at teams’ goals for and against over the last two weeks, the Washington Capitals, Vancouver Canucks and Ottawa Senators are the only teams that averaging at least three goals a game and allowing at least three goals a game.

Odds to win the 2019-20 Stanley Cup

Team Odds to win 2019-20 Stanley Cup
Boston Bruins +500
St. Louis Blues +650
Colorado Avalanche +650
Tampa Bay Lightning +700
Vegas Golden Knights +800
Washington Capitals +1,100
Dallas Stars +1,400
Pittsburgh Penguins +1,400
Philadelphia Flyers +1,400
Edmonton Oilers +1,800
Toronto Maple Leafs +2,000
New York Islanders +2,200
Calgary Flames +2,500
Vancouver Canucks +2,800
Carolina Hurricanes +2,800
Columbus Blue Jackets +3,000
Nashville Predators +3,500
Minnesota Wild +4,000
New York Rangers +4,000
Winnipeg Jets +4,000
Arizona Coyotes +4,000
Florida Panthers +7,000
Buffalo Sabres +25,000
Montreal Canadiens +25,000
Chicago Blackhawks +27,500
San Jose Sharks +100,000
Anaheim Ducks +200,000
New Jersey Devils +200,000
Los Angeles Kings +300,000
Ottawa Senators +400,000
Detroit Red Wings OTB

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook

MLB picks and predictions for Opening Day

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It was a long and scary road, but we finally get MLB betting back on Thursday, July 23. Opening Day of the pandemic-shortened 60-game baseball schedule is headlined by a pair of matchups, with the New York Yankees visiting the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers rekindling their rivalry with the San Francisco Giants.

Like we do each MLB season (COVID-19 or not), we’ll be taking a swing at today’s baseball odds and giving our best MLB picks and predictions. Up first: Opening Day 2020.

MLB picks for today

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was supposed to miss the start of the season back in the spring, but the delay to the 2020 campaign allowed the outfielder to heal up from broken ribs and return to his longball-launching self.

Judge looked great in New York’s warmup games, albeit for a limited number of at-bats. He went 3-for-7 with all three hits leaving the ballpark. And he wasn’t alone, with the Yankees’ other power bats providing plenty of pop around him in the order. He’ll get a chance to go yard again on Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Aaron Judge home run (+210)

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants are no strangers to Clayton Kershaw, who has long dominated the Dodgers’ divisional foes. In 49 career appearances against San Francisco, The Claw is 23-12 with a 1.74 ERA and has allowed just 0.71 hits per innings pitched in those starts.

The Giants don’t pose much of an offensive threat, averaging 8.22 hits per game in 2019. San Francisco has managed 45 total hits in its last eight starts against Kershaw – an average of 0.86 hits per inning faced. Given the Dodgers’ ace looked ready for work in his tune-up efforts, we could see him go seven innings or more on Thursday, panning out to a little over six hits for San Fran.

PREDICTION: Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)

Mookie Betts has reportedly landed a whale of a contract extension with the Dodgers after joining the ballclub this offseason via a trade with the Boston Red Sox. And what better way to lock down that deal than an impressive effort on Opening Day.

Betts recorded 313 total bases in 2019 (30th) and 353 in 2018 (fourth). He’s been swinging well in training sessions this offseason: in 27 at-bats during the spring/summer schedule, he has 13 total bases, including two doubles and a home run, while hitting leadoff during Summer Camp. We like that to continue into Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)

Top MLB consensus for today

Want to know who today’s biggest MLB betting and consensus bets are right now? Check out our top MLB consensus picks.

Opening Day betting card

  • Aaron Judge home run (+210)
  • Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)
  • Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)