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Grizzlies vs Clippers NBA betting picks and predictions: All aboard the Memphis express

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The Memphis Grizzlies wrap up their California road trip on Monday night as they take on the Los Angeles Clippers. The Grizzlies have surpassed expectations this season and are currently in eighth place in the Western Conference thanks in large part to rookie sensation Ja Morant.

The Clippers are in third place in the West with a 37-19 record and have the third-best odds to win the NBA championship just after the Bucks and Lakers. They might be without Paul George in this game, with the All-Star listed as questionable with a strained hamstring.

We break down the NBA betting odds and bring you our predictions and picks for this West Coast showdown.   

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES AT LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (-9.5, 233.5) 

 

QUICK HITTER

When it comes to first-quarter scoring, Memphis ranks ninth in the NBA with 29.1 ppg, a few spots ahead of the Clippers who average 28.5.

The Clippers play hard on the defensive end of the court, but they have been vulnerable in the opening quarter of games. They surrender 27.8 points per game in the first quarter, which ranks 20th in the league. We’re expecting the young and energetic Grizzlies to get out to a quick start and are backing them on the first quarter spread.

PICK: First Quarter Memphis +2.5

FIRST HALF BET

We expect the Grizz to cover the first quarter spread but the second quarter should be showtime for the Clippers. Los Angeles has an average second-quarter margin of plus-2.2 ppg (third best in the league), while Memphis has a second-quarter margin of minus-1.9 (fifth worst). The Grizzlies scoring margin in the second frame is even worse on the road at minus-3.9.

The Clippers are sixth in the league in first-half scoring with 58.5 ppg, and Memphis has surrendered 64.3 first half ppg over their last three contests. Expect the Clips to go Over their 1H team total.

PICK: First Half Team Total Clippers Over 59.5

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

Grizzlies center Jonas Valanciunas has been dominating on the glass lately. The big man is averaging 10.6 rebounds per game on the season and has bumped that number up to 13.6 over the month of February. Valanciunas grabbed 12 boards in just 22 minutes against the Clippers in January, and pulled down 16 rebounds in the first meeting with the Clips in November.

With Jaren Jackson Jr. sidelined with a knee injury, Valanciunas could be in an even better spot to log more minutes and grab more boards. Take the Over on his rebounds total.

PICK: Jonas Valanciunas Over 11.5 rebounds

TOTAL BET

Memphis and Los Angeles are seventh and eighth in the league in pace, and both teams can fill up the bucket, with the Clippers averaging 115.7 ppg and Memphis putting up 113.1.

Memphis also gives up plenty of scoring chances, surrendering 114.8 ppg, 23rd most in the league.

Clippers point guard Patrick Beverly is listed as questionable with a groin injury. But L.A. recently signed Reggie Jackson who had been waived by the Pistons. Jackson averages 14.5 points and 5.1 assists per game and should give the Clips a boost on the offensive end, but he’s a huge downgrade from Beverly on defense.

We’re betting on a fast-paced, high-scoring affair and taking the Over.

PICK: Over 233.5

FULL GAME SIDE

The Grizzlies are coming off back-to-back road losses to the Lakers and Kings, but they have played well against the Clippers this season. Memphis destroyed the Clippers by a score of 140-114 in January, and lost on a last-second bucket in their first meeting back in November.

Definitely monitor George’s health as we get closer to tip off, but considering how conservative the Clippers organization (and pretty much the entire league) has been when it comes to playing banged up stars, we expect them to exercise caution and sit him out in this game.

While the Clippers should be able to take this game, covering a 9-point spread won’t be easy, especially with how well the young Grizzlies run the floor. The Clippers have versatile defenders but they give up 14.4 points per game on the fastbreak, which ranks 23rd in the league, and that number has ballooned to 20.3 ppg over their last three contests.

Led by Morant, Memphis scores 17.7 ppg on the fast break, fourth-best in the NBA. Expect the fast-paced Grizz to make a game of it and back them on the spread.

PICK: Memphis +9.5

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook

MLB picks and predictions for Opening Day

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It was a long and scary road, but we finally get MLB betting back on Thursday, July 23. Opening Day of the pandemic-shortened 60-game baseball schedule is headlined by a pair of matchups, with the New York Yankees visiting the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers rekindling their rivalry with the San Francisco Giants.

Like we do each MLB season (COVID-19 or not), we’ll be taking a swing at today’s baseball odds and giving our best MLB picks and predictions. Up first: Opening Day 2020.

MLB picks for today

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was supposed to miss the start of the season back in the spring, but the delay to the 2020 campaign allowed the outfielder to heal up from broken ribs and return to his longball-launching self.

Judge looked great in New York’s warmup games, albeit for a limited number of at-bats. He went 3-for-7 with all three hits leaving the ballpark. And he wasn’t alone, with the Yankees’ other power bats providing plenty of pop around him in the order. He’ll get a chance to go yard again on Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Aaron Judge home run (+210)

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants are no strangers to Clayton Kershaw, who has long dominated the Dodgers’ divisional foes. In 49 career appearances against San Francisco, The Claw is 23-12 with a 1.74 ERA and has allowed just 0.71 hits per innings pitched in those starts.

The Giants don’t pose much of an offensive threat, averaging 8.22 hits per game in 2019. San Francisco has managed 45 total hits in its last eight starts against Kershaw – an average of 0.86 hits per inning faced. Given the Dodgers’ ace looked ready for work in his tune-up efforts, we could see him go seven innings or more on Thursday, panning out to a little over six hits for San Fran.

PREDICTION: Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)

Mookie Betts has reportedly landed a whale of a contract extension with the Dodgers after joining the ballclub this offseason via a trade with the Boston Red Sox. And what better way to lock down that deal than an impressive effort on Opening Day.

Betts recorded 313 total bases in 2019 (30th) and 353 in 2018 (fourth). He’s been swinging well in training sessions this offseason: in 27 at-bats during the spring/summer schedule, he has 13 total bases, including two doubles and a home run, while hitting leadoff during Summer Camp. We like that to continue into Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)

Top MLB consensus for today

Want to know who today’s biggest MLB betting and consensus bets are right now? Check out our top MLB consensus picks.

Opening Day betting card

  • Aaron Judge home run (+210)
  • Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)
  • Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)