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Nets vs 76ers NBA betting picks and predictions: Don’t overestimate Kyrie’s worth to the line

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The Philadelphia 76ers are heavy home favorites over the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night as these Atlantic Division rivals play their first game after the All-Star break.

We build the blueprint for betting this marquee matchup on the NBA basketball odds board, from our favorite bets for the side and total to some quick-paying picks and prop plays.

BROOKLYN NETS AT PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (-8, 215.5)

 

QUICK HITTER

The Kyrie Irving saga continues for the Nets. One of the team’s two major offseason acquisitions is now out indefinitely because of a lingering shoulder injury. Irving has already missed 26 games this season and will not suit up against the 76ers on Thursday as the NBA post-All-Star break schedule finally gets underway.

Philadelphia won its last three games heading into the break and now has the NBA’s best home record at 25-2. Ben Simmons returns from his second All-Star appearance and is averaging 22.3 points, 10 assists, and 8.7 rebounds during the Sixers’ three-game winning streak.

The Nets also entered the All-Star break on a winning note with seven victories over their last 10 games. Brooklyn is 7-2-1 ATS in the first quarter over that stretch. Expect Philadelphia to have more of a post-All-Star hangover as two of their starters (Embiid, Simmons) both took part in Sunday’s game.

Prediction: First Quarter Nets +2.5

FIRST HALF

Brooklyn is currently clinging to the seventh spot in the Eastern Conference standings as they prepare to make a playoff push without their leading scorer. The Nets are 8-12 with Irving in the lineup this season and 17-16 without him.

The Sixers are 24-30-1 ATS overall in the first half and 4-5-1 over their last 10 games, as they have struggled to get off to consistent starts this season. Brooklyn led 57-54 at the half the last time these teams played at Wells Fargo Center. Expect a similar scoreline in this game.

Prediction: Nets +4.5 First Half

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

Spencer Dinwiddie has scored at least 20 points in each of his last three games as the scoring guard will now shoulder the offensive load with Irving sidelined. Dinwiddie is averaging 24 points on 42.6 percent shooting in three games against the Sixers this season.

The last Net to register four 20-point games against Philadelphia in one season was Stephon Marbury (2000-01). Dinwiddie is a good bet to join this exclusive group and exceed his point total prop.

Prediction: Spencer Dinwiddie Over 21.5 Points (-104)

TOTAL BET

These two teams combined for 228 points in their last meeting at Barclays Center back on January 20. Tobias Harris had 34 points on 14-of-20 shooting as the game sailed over the relatively low total of 218. The Over is 2-1 in the three matchups between these two teams this season.

Philadelphia surged into the All-Star break with an impressive 110-103 win over the Clippers. The win featured a spectacular closing performance from Josh Richardson who scored 17 of his 21 points in the final quarter. It’s the most points scored in the fourth quarter by a 76ers player all season.

Richardson was playing in his third game back from a hamstring injury. With the shooting guard rested and back in the mix, expect the usually inconsistent Philadelphia offense to find a rhythm and help push this game over the number.

Prediction: Over 215.5

SPREAD BET

The Nets are 1-5 on the road against Atlantic Division opponents this season but luckily in this one, they don’t need to win, just cover. Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall

The Nets’ offense has been more efficient without Irving on the floor this season as guards like Caris LeVert have had a chance to shine. LeVert is averaging 24 points over his last five games and should have a favorable matchup in this game as Simmons will likely be guarding Dinwiddie.

Considering the inconsistencies Philadelphia has had this season with sustaining maximum effort, the Nets are a good bet to cover a big number as both teams get settled in after a long All-Star layoff.

Prediction: Nets +8

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook

MLB picks and predictions for Opening Day

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It was a long and scary road, but we finally get MLB betting back on Thursday, July 23. Opening Day of the pandemic-shortened 60-game baseball schedule is headlined by a pair of matchups, with the New York Yankees visiting the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers rekindling their rivalry with the San Francisco Giants.

Like we do each MLB season (COVID-19 or not), we’ll be taking a swing at today’s baseball odds and giving our best MLB picks and predictions. Up first: Opening Day 2020.

MLB picks for today

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was supposed to miss the start of the season back in the spring, but the delay to the 2020 campaign allowed the outfielder to heal up from broken ribs and return to his longball-launching self.

Judge looked great in New York’s warmup games, albeit for a limited number of at-bats. He went 3-for-7 with all three hits leaving the ballpark. And he wasn’t alone, with the Yankees’ other power bats providing plenty of pop around him in the order. He’ll get a chance to go yard again on Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Aaron Judge home run (+210)

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants are no strangers to Clayton Kershaw, who has long dominated the Dodgers’ divisional foes. In 49 career appearances against San Francisco, The Claw is 23-12 with a 1.74 ERA and has allowed just 0.71 hits per innings pitched in those starts.

The Giants don’t pose much of an offensive threat, averaging 8.22 hits per game in 2019. San Francisco has managed 45 total hits in its last eight starts against Kershaw – an average of 0.86 hits per inning faced. Given the Dodgers’ ace looked ready for work in his tune-up efforts, we could see him go seven innings or more on Thursday, panning out to a little over six hits for San Fran.

PREDICTION: Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)

Mookie Betts has reportedly landed a whale of a contract extension with the Dodgers after joining the ballclub this offseason via a trade with the Boston Red Sox. And what better way to lock down that deal than an impressive effort on Opening Day.

Betts recorded 313 total bases in 2019 (30th) and 353 in 2018 (fourth). He’s been swinging well in training sessions this offseason: in 27 at-bats during the spring/summer schedule, he has 13 total bases, including two doubles and a home run, while hitting leadoff during Summer Camp. We like that to continue into Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)

Top MLB consensus for today

Want to know who today’s biggest MLB betting and consensus bets are right now? Check out our top MLB consensus picks.

Opening Day betting card

  • Aaron Judge home run (+210)
  • Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)
  • Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)