Super Bowl proves superb for sportsbooks on result of Chiefs and Under vs. 49ers

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You’ll almost never find a sportsbook risk room complaining when the Under hits on the Super Bowl total, such is the public’s propensity to bet the daylights out of the Over. So come Sunday night, after the Kansas City Chiefs rallied for a 31-20 victory over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LIV, oddsmakers far and wide noted the Under was the key to a profitable day behind the counter.

“The Under really helped a lot,” said John Lukasik, sportsbook manager at The Book at The Linq, a Caesars Palace property. “The moneyline was great, too. Those two crushed a lot of parlays.”

Lukasik’s peers in the Caesars risk room provided a two-word description for Chiefs and Under, which was exactly what the house needed: “Monster day.” In fact, it remained that way after the wildly popular proposition bets were graded.

“Handle up over last year,” Caesars’ risk team said. “Props were good because no funny stuff happened.”

Indeed, there was no safety, 2-point conversion or overtime, among other popular plus-money public plays.

CG Technology director of risk operations Tony DiTommaso said it was a solid Super Bowl Sunday for his shops, including at The Cosmopolitan and Venetian on the Las Vegas Strip.

“Everything was good. We approached a seven-figure win. For us, it was a pretty decent day, no complaints,” DiTommaso told Covers – before noting one modest complaint: Damien Williams’ late 38-yard touchdown scamper. “The game staying Under certainly helped, but that late Chiefs score really hurt us. A monster swing, almost $200,000, because it put the second half Over.

“Heaven forbid the guy breaks into the clear and takes a knee!”

MGM books in Vegas joined Caesars in having a tremendous Super Bowl Sunday. Recall that last week, Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale made a $1 million bet on 49ers moneyline +120.

On Sunday, a large casino player who’d been firing away since bowl season plopped down almost $2.44 million in the following manner: $550,000 49ers +1.5; $550,000 across two bets on Over 53.5; $500,000 49ers first-half moneyline; $500,000 first-half Over 26.5; $50,000 first-quarter Over 10.5; and $287,750 49ers second-half moneyline.

That bettor pushed on the San Fran first-half moneyline play, but MGM books picked up just shy of $1.94 million on the rest of those plays. Chiefs and Under was a major score behind the counter.

“It’s our best result since 2008,” MGM books director of trading Jeff Stoneback said of a multiple-millions windfall for the house. “It fell just as we needed.”

The SuperBook had a modest win on the spread/moneyline/total, then got a solid boost from the prop bets, according to sportsbook manager Cameron Coombs.

“We were set up solid for both teams on our futures book. Our best outcome would’ve been Niners and Under,” Coombs said. “The Under was big for us. We managed a low-six-digit win on the game. Everything posted (including props), a mid-six-figure win. We could have won seven figures if the Niners held the lead.”

Added Jay Kornegay, who oversees The Superbook as Westgate’s vice president of race and sports: “We had a decent day, but a little disappointed, as we were staring at our best-case scenario, and it slipped away.”

William Hill US took its largest bet for this year’s Super Bowl three hours before kickoff, $525,000 on Chiefs -1 at a Las Vegas location. So the bettor got the best of that one, though WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said the book scooped up a lot of Niners money.

“Nevada was solid. All other states were a very small loser,” Bogdanovich said, adding that after the final tally, across all William Hill US operations in the U.S., the Super Bowl was a win for the book.

Canucks vs Golden Knights picks and predictions for Game 1

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Perhaps no team has been more fun to follow during the NHL playoffs than the Vancouver Canucks, and hockey bettors can still get the Canucks at +1,300 to hoist Lord Stanley’s cup. Vancouver is coming off a thrilling series win against the defending champion St. Louis Blues, but now a much more difficult challenge awaits. The Vegas Golden Knights are +350 favorites to win it all, and they’ve certainly looked the part while dropping only one playoff contest.

Game 1 of this series gets underway Sunday, so we’re here to bring you our NHL picks and predictions in this Western Conference semifinal showdown.

Vancouver Canucks vs Vegas Golden Knights betting preview

Starting Goalies

Canucks: Jacob Markstrom – playoffs – 7-3, 2.44 GAA, .929 SV% (season – 23-16, 2.75 GAA, .918 SV%)

Golden Knights: Robin Lehner – playoffs – 5-1, 2.44 GAA, .904 SV% (season – 19-10, 2.89, .920 SV%)

If this game was actually played in Las Vegas, then Markstrom could easily spend a few hours performing with Cirque du Soleil. The 30-year-old dazzled against Blues with an eye-opening array of acrobatic saves and an impressive 7-3 record. He’ll need to provide more of the same against a dangerous Vegas squad.

The Knights will likely roll with Robin Lehner, who has taken over the spot as Vegas’s starter in the crease—and rightfully so. Still, the Knights have the luxury of having Marc-Andre Fleury as their “backup.” The five-time All-Star matched an NHL record this season with his 14th consecutive playoff appearance.

Injuries

Vancouver: Tyler Myers D (out), Tyler Toffoli RW (out), Micheal Ferland LW (out), Josh Leivo LW (out)

Vegas: Tomas Nosek LW (out)

Betting Trend to Know

Canucks are 0-6 in their last six Sunday games. Find the latest NHL betting trends for Canucks vs. Golden Knights.

MONEYLINE PICK

The Canucks have been a force with the extra man during the postseason, converting 26.2% of their power plays. While the Knights are known for their offensive firepower, it’s their stingy defense that allows them to suffocate opponents—as evidenced by an 86.4% penalty kill during their playoff run. Vancouver is the only team in the league to never beat Vegas in regulation, going 0-11 all time. That’s something I just can’t ignore.

PREDICTION: Vegas ML (-175)

OVER/UNDER PICK

Each team is filled with loads of offensive talent. Vancouver’s Bo Horvat and J.T. Miller have combined for 11 goals thus far. Elias Pettersson has racked up 13 points, tied with Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon for the playoff lead.

The Knights can match Vancouver’s scorers, but they’re more balanced—Shea Theodore, Alex Tuch and Mark Stone have each lit the lamp four times during the postseason. The difference is on defense, where Vancouver has allowed the most high-danger chances of all remaining playoff teams.

PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (-110)

PROP PICK

Though I like Vegas to win, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Canucks kept it close and continued their offensive success. I’ll take a flyer on Vancouver scoring at least three goals.

PREDICTION: Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)

Canucks vs Golden Knights Betting Card

  • Vegas ML (-175)
  • Over 5.5 (-110)
  • Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)
NHL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NHL Canucks vs Golden Knights picks, you could win $104.93 on a $10 bet?

Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook