Super Bowl proves superb for sportsbooks on result of Chiefs and Under vs. 49ers

Leave a comment

You’ll almost never find a sportsbook risk room complaining when the Under hits on the Super Bowl total, such is the public’s propensity to bet the daylights out of the Over. So come Sunday night, after the Kansas City Chiefs rallied for a 31-20 victory over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LIV, oddsmakers far and wide noted the Under was the key to a profitable day behind the counter.

“The Under really helped a lot,” said John Lukasik, sportsbook manager at The Book at The Linq, a Caesars Palace property. “The moneyline was great, too. Those two crushed a lot of parlays.”

Lukasik’s peers in the Caesars risk room provided a two-word description for Chiefs and Under, which was exactly what the house needed: “Monster day.” In fact, it remained that way after the wildly popular proposition bets were graded.

“Handle up over last year,” Caesars’ risk team said. “Props were good because no funny stuff happened.”

Indeed, there was no safety, 2-point conversion or overtime, among other popular plus-money public plays.

CG Technology director of risk operations Tony DiTommaso said it was a solid Super Bowl Sunday for his shops, including at The Cosmopolitan and Venetian on the Las Vegas Strip.

“Everything was good. We approached a seven-figure win. For us, it was a pretty decent day, no complaints,” DiTommaso told Covers – before noting one modest complaint: Damien Williams’ late 38-yard touchdown scamper. “The game staying Under certainly helped, but that late Chiefs score really hurt us. A monster swing, almost $200,000, because it put the second half Over.

“Heaven forbid the guy breaks into the clear and takes a knee!”

MGM books in Vegas joined Caesars in having a tremendous Super Bowl Sunday. Recall that last week, Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale made a $1 million bet on 49ers moneyline +120.

On Sunday, a large casino player who’d been firing away since bowl season plopped down almost $2.44 million in the following manner: $550,000 49ers +1.5; $550,000 across two bets on Over 53.5; $500,000 49ers first-half moneyline; $500,000 first-half Over 26.5; $50,000 first-quarter Over 10.5; and $287,750 49ers second-half moneyline.

That bettor pushed on the San Fran first-half moneyline play, but MGM books picked up just shy of $1.94 million on the rest of those plays. Chiefs and Under was a major score behind the counter.

“It’s our best result since 2008,” MGM books director of trading Jeff Stoneback said of a multiple-millions windfall for the house. “It fell just as we needed.”

The SuperBook had a modest win on the spread/moneyline/total, then got a solid boost from the prop bets, according to sportsbook manager Cameron Coombs.

“We were set up solid for both teams on our futures book. Our best outcome would’ve been Niners and Under,” Coombs said. “The Under was big for us. We managed a low-six-digit win on the game. Everything posted (including props), a mid-six-figure win. We could have won seven figures if the Niners held the lead.”

Added Jay Kornegay, who oversees The Superbook as Westgate’s vice president of race and sports: “We had a decent day, but a little disappointed, as we were staring at our best-case scenario, and it slipped away.”

William Hill US took its largest bet for this year’s Super Bowl three hours before kickoff, $525,000 on Chiefs -1 at a Las Vegas location. So the bettor got the best of that one, though WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said the book scooped up a lot of Niners money.

“Nevada was solid. All other states were a very small loser,” Bogdanovich said, adding that after the final tally, across all William Hill US operations in the U.S., the Super Bowl was a win for the book.

College basketball odds, picks and predictions: Bet on big first half from Oregon

Getty Images
Leave a comment

Baylor aims to stay at the top of the NCAA men’s basketball rankings as they take on a reeling West Virginia squad on Saturday, while Oregon looks to crush visiting Utah on Sunday night. We break down the college basketball odds for those games and much more as we bring you the best betting notes, picks and predictions across the NCAA this weekend.   


Things don’t get any easier for No. 14 West Virginia as they come off back-to-back losses. The Mountaineers fell to Oklahoma on the road last Saturday before losing at home to Kansas on Wednesday. They scored an average of just 54 points per game in those two contests and now take on No. 1 Baylor who has held foes to 58.3 ppg on 38.4 percent shooting this season.

Generally the best way to attack the 1-1-3 zone defense that Baylor employs is to attack with a pair of guards that can dribble and drive, as well as knock down the occasional jumper. Unfortunately for WVU, while they have strong players down low, they lack scoring punch in their backcourt. Look for the Bears to hold the Mountaineers Under their team total. 


Anyone who has been following the Big Ten this season knows that most schools are killing at home and just getting shredded on the road. Purdue and Ohio State represent this trend probably better than anyone, especially during the first half of games.

The Buckeyes have an average first-half scoring margin of plus-12.2 ppg at home (fifth-best in the country) but that drops to minus-1.8 on the road. The Boilermakers have an average first-half margin of plus-11.7 ppg at home and that falls to minus-1.7 on the road.

With Purdue putting up just 27.6 first half ppg on the road, and Ohio State holding opponents to 25 first half ppg in Columbus, take Ohio State on the 1H spread.


The Zags have the No. 2 team in the country but they might not have the best betting value when they face Pepperdine on the road on Saturday night. Gonzaga is coming off a 30-point rout of Saint Mary’s but prior to that game they failed to cover in three straight contests.

Pepperdine is 25th in the country in scoring with 77.2 ppg and is 7-3 SU over their last 10 contests. They also played well against Gonzaga in the last meeting between the two squads, falling by a score of 75-70 on the road on January 4. A matter of fact, the Waves are 3-1 ATS in the last four games of the head-to-head with the Zags.

With Gonzaga usually a massive favorite, laying at least 10 points in 13 of their last 14 contests (and laying at least 20 points in seven of those), the underdog Waves have value on the spread.   


Utah is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road in Pac-12 play, losing by scoring margins of 39, 19, 19, 16, 14 and 4 points. A common theme for Utah in those losses has been ice-cold shooting, far too many turnovers and a tendency to fall behind early. In three of those games, including Thursday night against Oregon State, the Utes were down at least 16 points by halftime.

On Sunday the Utes wrap up their Oregon road trip as they face the No. 17 Ducks. The Ducks are tied for first place in the Pac-12 after a come from behind win against Colorado on Thursday.

Led by guards Payton Pritchard (19.3 points and 6 assists per game) and Chris Duarte (14 ppg), the Ducks rank 19th in the country in offensive efficiency. And Pritchard and Duarte are especially effective at home where they shoot a combined 49 percent from the floor and 41 percent from deep. Bet on Oregon to cover the first half spread.  


BYU received 43 votes in the latest AP Top 25 Poll and is currently riding a five-game winning streak. Over their last 17 games the Cougars have gone 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS. BYU has the best group of outside shooters in the country, connecting on 10.9 made 3-point shots per game while shooting 42.5 percent from deep.

On Saturday, BYU heads to the Jenny Craig Pavillion (seriously that’s what it’s called) to take on the San Diego Toreros. The Toreros are at the bottom of the West Coast Conference standings and shoot just 41.2 percent from the floor. That’s right: San Diego shoots worse from the field than BYU does from beyond the arc.


Dayton has been flying up the NCAA futures odds board and is currently listed as high as +1,600 at some books. The Flyers are fifth in the country in scoring (81.6 ppg) and first in shooting percentage (52.3), and haven’t lost a game since December. While detractors might point at the lack of stiff competition in the Atlantic 10 Conference, it’s worth noting that the Flyers only two losses this season occured in overtime and one of them was against No. 3 Kansas.

On Saturday, Dayton is on the road against the Massachusetts Minutemen. The Minutemen allow 72.9 ppg on 46.5 percent shooting (328th in the country) and lost by 28 points to Dayton on January 11.


• The Toledo Rockets are just 1-10 ATS at home this season. On Friday they host the Buffalo Bulls who are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four games in the head-to-head. The Rockets look like a good fade as 2.5-point favorites.  

• Over the last ten days SEC conference games have gone 13-4 O/U. If you’re looking for a solid Over bet in SEC play this weekend, the matchup between Mississippi State and Arkansas looks good. Arkansas has cashed the Over in eight straight games while Miss State is 7-1 O/U in its previous eight contests.

• The top ATS team in the country are the North Florida Osprey who are 19-6 ATS, including 7-1 ATS over their last eight games. On Saturday, the Osprey host the North Alabama Lions. North Florida is 4-0 ATS in four games against North Alabama dating back to last season.

2020 NBA All-Star Skills Challenge odds to win and betting picks: Don’t fade the big men

Getty Images
Leave a comment

The NBA skills challenge might not be the flashiest event at the All-Star Game, but it has proved to be very profitable for bettors who like to wager on underdogs. We take a look at the odds to win the NBA skills challenge for this year’s field and break down our betting picks for the 2020 event.  


The skills challenge features eight NBA players going through an obstacle course which tests their dribbling skills, passing ability, agility and shooting.

Two players face off next to each other on identical courses on the court. For the first leg, they run down the court while dribbling between five obstacles, before throwing a pass through a target. Then they turn around and dribble back the full length of the court for a lay up. Then they head back up the court before hitting a 3-pointer from the top of the key. The first player to sink his shot from beyond the arc wins.

It’s a single elimination format with three rounds and the brackets won’t be chosen until Saturday.


Spencer Dinwiddie Brooklyn Nets +350
Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks +410
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder +460
Jayson Tatum Boston Celtics +550
Pascal Siakam Toronto Raptors +550
Domantis Sabonis Indiana Pacers +850
Patrick Beverley Los Angeles Clippers +900
Bam Adebayo Miami Heat +1,200


This year’s event features three former winners: Patrick Beverley (2015), Spencer Dinwiddie (2018) and Jayson Tatum (2019). While Dinwiddie has the best odds to win at +350, if recent history is any indication this is one contest where underdogs have a good chance of coming out on top.

Since the event started including big men in 2016, two players have won with the worst odds (Dinwiddie and Karl-Anthony Towns) while another took home the title with the second-worst odds (Kristaps Porzingis in 2016). Last year, Tatum won with the fifth-best odds at +600.

That said, we’re not taking the player with the worst odds this year. Adebayo is having a terrific season but he’s only connected on one 3-point shot all year (on 11 attempts), so the final step in this event could prove to be a challenge.

We like the +550 payout for Tatum to repeat, but our money is on the player tied with Tatum in the odds department: Raptors forward Pascal Siakam. Siakam is quicker and has better handles than many give him credit for, and he’s really improved his shot from beyond the arc this season (connecting on more than two 3-point shots per game at a clip of 36 percent).

Siakam also seems to play at his best when the pressure is on, so expect him to thrive under the spotlight in Chicago this weekend. We’re betting on the Raptors’ big man.