The best cross-sport Super Bowl LIV prop betting odds and picks

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Super Bowl LIV has an extensive list of team and player props that crossover with other popular sporting events taking place before the big game.

We share the best bets across the cross-sport prop board, with picks from the NBA, NHL, PGA, EPL and college basketball. All lines and odds are courtesy of the Westgate Super Book in Las Vegas.

76ers/Celtics First Half Points (-110) vs. San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards -32.5 (-110)

The 76ers and Celtics are averaging a combined 109.4 points per game in the first half this season while the 49ers averaged 144.1 rushing yards during the regular season. However, San Francisco has dominated on the ground during the postseason, churning out over 235 yards per game.

The Chiefs are ranked 28th in the NFL against the run according to DVOA and as long as the 49ers defense can keep things close, there will be a heavy dose of Raheem Mostert in this game. Mostert went off for 220 yards in the NFC Championship Game victory over Green Bay. 145 rushing yards is the magic number for a cover here.

Pick: 49ers Rushing Yards -32.5

Lebron James Points (-110) vs. Patrick Mahomes Completions -1.5 (-110)

This is a true toss-up with Lebron averaging 25.3 points per game and Mahomes’ completion prop total sitting at 24.5 for the Super Bowl. We have yet to see James on the floor since the tragic death of Kobe Bryant. He will likely shoulder the load offensively as the Lakers continue to mourn.

James had 29 points against the Kings back in November and is a good bet for him to crack the 30-point mark in this matchup. Mahomes is averaging 23 completions in the postseason despite the Kansas City offense scoring at least 35 points in both games. James is the play here.

Pick: Lebron James Points +1.5

St. John’s Points -3.5 (-110) vs. George Kittle Receiving Yards (-110)

St. John’s is averaging 74.8 points per game this season but is coming off a 59-point dud in a loss to Villanova on Tuesday. The Red Storm will face a Georgetown team ranked 273rd allowing 73.0 points per game this season. The Hoyas play at the nation’s 49th quickest pace, so a high-scoring game is not out of the question here.

George Kittle has been virtually invisible during the postseason with just four grabs for 35 yards in two games. The 49ers passing attack has not been asked to do much as the run game and defense has taken center stage in two playoff victories. The Chiefs are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season but will likely be keying in on Kittle.

Pick: St. John’s Points -3.5

Phil Mickelson 4th Round Bogeys (+130) or Worse vs. Tyreek Hill Receptions -2.5 (-150)

Phil Mickelson will be teeing it up at the Phoenix Open for the 31st time and has a rich history at TPC Scottsdale. Lefty is a three-time champion of this event (2013, 2005, 1996) but missed the cut last year after shooting a 75 in the second round. Mickelson had four bogeys in that round and it’s a good bet to have him pegged around that number again this year.

Tyreek Hill has just eight grabs on 11 targets for 108 yards this postseason despite the Chiefs scoring 86 points in their two playoff games. Based on those numbers, it’s easy to look towards Mickelson here, but the line move on Hill from -110 to -150 pushes me in the other direction. It’s rare to see significant movement like that on a low-volume prop.

Pick: Tyreek Hill Receptions -2.5

Manchester City/Tottenham Goals (-120) vs. San Francisco 49ers Total Touchdowns PK (Even)

There have been three or fewer goals scored in each of the last seven Tottenham games. Manchester City games have tended to be higher scoring, but they play Manchester United on Wednesday, so it will be a quick turnaround for the Sky Blues.

Considering the total for Super Bowl LIV is in the mid-50’s and the 49ers team total is 27, it’s likely there will be at least three touchdowns scored by San Francisco. Essentially, you’re betting on whether or not the 49ers can score four times. At even odds, that’s a good bet.

Pick: 49ers Total Touchdowns

Number of Completed Sets in Australian Open Men’s Final vs. Travis Kelce Receptions -2.5 (-110)

It looks like Novak Djokovic is going to cruise into the Australian Open Men’s Final, which is bad news for the rest of the draw. The Joker has only dropped one set so far the entire tournament and I would not be surprised if he needed just three sets in the final as well.

Kelce has been a popular target in the postseason with 13 receptions on 16 targets in two games. Expect a higher-scoring game in the Super Bowl, which means more opportunities for one of the best receiving tight ends in the NFL to rack up the receptions.

Pick: Travis Kelce Receptions -2.5

Alexander Ovechkin Shots on Goal -1.5 (-170) vs. Patrick Mahomes Touchdown Passes (+145)

Alexander Ovechkin averaged three shots on goal against Pittsburgh in four games last season. His season-high for shots on goal this year is 10. Ovechkin is also well rested having played in just one game over the last two weeks due to the NHL All-Star break. Ovechkin was suspended for one game earlier in the week for refusing to play in the All-Star Game.

The passing touchdown prop for Patrick Mahomes is hovering between 1.5 and 2.5 as a high-scoring affair is expected in Super Bowl LIV. Even if Mahomes throws for three scores, Ovechkin’s floor seems to be five shots on goal. There has also been a significant line movement towards Ovechkin from -110 to -170. Go with the Stanley Cup champion here.

Pick: Alexander Ovechkin Shots on Goal -1.5

College basketball odds, picks and predictions: Bet on big first half from Oregon

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Baylor aims to stay at the top of the NCAA men’s basketball rankings as they take on a reeling West Virginia squad on Saturday, while Oregon looks to crush visiting Utah on Sunday night. We break down the college basketball odds for those games and much more as we bring you the best betting notes, picks and predictions across the NCAA this weekend.   

WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS AT BAYLOR BEARS

Things don’t get any easier for No. 14 West Virginia as they come off back-to-back losses. The Mountaineers fell to Oklahoma on the road last Saturday before losing at home to Kansas on Wednesday. They scored an average of just 54 points per game in those two contests and now take on No. 1 Baylor who has held foes to 58.3 ppg on 38.4 percent shooting this season.

Generally the best way to attack the 1-1-3 zone defense that Baylor employs is to attack with a pair of guards that can dribble and drive, as well as knock down the occasional jumper. Unfortunately for WVU, while they have strong players down low, they lack scoring punch in their backcourt. Look for the Bears to hold the Mountaineers Under their team total. 

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS AT OHIO STATE BUCKEYES

Anyone who has been following the Big Ten this season knows that most schools are killing at home and just getting shredded on the road. Purdue and Ohio State represent this trend probably better than anyone, especially during the first half of games.

The Buckeyes have an average first-half scoring margin of plus-12.2 ppg at home (fifth-best in the country) but that drops to minus-1.8 on the road. The Boilermakers have an average first-half margin of plus-11.7 ppg at home and that falls to minus-1.7 on the road.

With Purdue putting up just 27.6 first half ppg on the road, and Ohio State holding opponents to 25 first half ppg in Columbus, take Ohio State on the 1H spread.

GONZAGA BULLDOGS AT PEPPERDINE WAVES

The Zags have the No. 2 team in the country but they might not have the best betting value when they face Pepperdine on the road on Saturday night. Gonzaga is coming off a 30-point rout of Saint Mary’s but prior to that game they failed to cover in three straight contests.

Pepperdine is 25th in the country in scoring with 77.2 ppg and is 7-3 SU over their last 10 contests. They also played well against Gonzaga in the last meeting between the two squads, falling by a score of 75-70 on the road on January 4. A matter of fact, the Waves are 3-1 ATS in the last four games of the head-to-head with the Zags.

With Gonzaga usually a massive favorite, laying at least 10 points in 13 of their last 14 contests (and laying at least 20 points in seven of those), the underdog Waves have value on the spread.   

UTAH UTES AT OREGON DUCKS

Utah is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road in Pac-12 play, losing by scoring margins of 39, 19, 19, 16, 14 and 4 points. A common theme for Utah in those losses has been ice-cold shooting, far too many turnovers and a tendency to fall behind early. In three of those games, including Thursday night against Oregon State, the Utes were down at least 16 points by halftime.

On Sunday the Utes wrap up their Oregon road trip as they face the No. 17 Ducks. The Ducks are tied for first place in the Pac-12 after a come from behind win against Colorado on Thursday.

Led by guards Payton Pritchard (19.3 points and 6 assists per game) and Chris Duarte (14 ppg), the Ducks rank 19th in the country in offensive efficiency. And Pritchard and Duarte are especially effective at home where they shoot a combined 49 percent from the floor and 41 percent from deep. Bet on Oregon to cover the first half spread.  

MID-MAJOR TO WATCH: BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS (19-7, 17-9 ATS, 15-11 O/U)

BYU received 43 votes in the latest AP Top 25 Poll and is currently riding a five-game winning streak. Over their last 17 games the Cougars have gone 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS. BYU has the best group of outside shooters in the country, connecting on 10.9 made 3-point shots per game while shooting 42.5 percent from deep.

On Saturday, BYU heads to the Jenny Craig Pavillion (seriously that’s what it’s called) to take on the San Diego Toreros. The Toreros are at the bottom of the West Coast Conference standings and shoot just 41.2 percent from the floor. That’s right: San Diego shoots worse from the field than BYU does from beyond the arc.

NATIONAL TITLE ODDS

Dayton has been flying up the NCAA futures odds board and is currently listed as high as +1,600 at some books. The Flyers are fifth in the country in scoring (81.6 ppg) and first in shooting percentage (52.3), and haven’t lost a game since December. While detractors might point at the lack of stiff competition in the Atlantic 10 Conference, it’s worth noting that the Flyers only two losses this season occured in overtime and one of them was against No. 3 Kansas.

On Saturday, Dayton is on the road against the Massachusetts Minutemen. The Minutemen allow 72.9 ppg on 46.5 percent shooting (328th in the country) and lost by 28 points to Dayton on January 11.

BETTING TRENDS

• The Toledo Rockets are just 1-10 ATS at home this season. On Friday they host the Buffalo Bulls who are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four games in the head-to-head. The Rockets look like a good fade as 2.5-point favorites.  

• Over the last ten days SEC conference games have gone 13-4 O/U. If you’re looking for a solid Over bet in SEC play this weekend, the matchup between Mississippi State and Arkansas looks good. Arkansas has cashed the Over in eight straight games while Miss State is 7-1 O/U in its previous eight contests.

• The top ATS team in the country are the North Florida Osprey who are 19-6 ATS, including 7-1 ATS over their last eight games. On Saturday, the Osprey host the North Alabama Lions. North Florida is 4-0 ATS in four games against North Alabama dating back to last season.

2020 NBA All-Star Skills Challenge odds to win and betting picks: Don’t fade the big men

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The NBA skills challenge might not be the flashiest event at the All-Star Game, but it has proved to be very profitable for bettors who like to wager on underdogs. We take a look at the odds to win the NBA skills challenge for this year’s field and break down our betting picks for the 2020 event.  

WHAT ARE THE RULES FOR THE TACO BELL SKILLS CHALLENGE?

The skills challenge features eight NBA players going through an obstacle course which tests their dribbling skills, passing ability, agility and shooting.

Two players face off next to each other on identical courses on the court. For the first leg, they run down the court while dribbling between five obstacles, before throwing a pass through a target. Then they turn around and dribble back the full length of the court for a lay up. Then they head back up the court before hitting a 3-pointer from the top of the key. The first player to sink his shot from beyond the arc wins.

It’s a single elimination format with three rounds and the brackets won’t be chosen until Saturday.

ODDS TO WIN NBA SKILLS CHALLENGE

PLAYER TEAM ODDS
Spencer Dinwiddie Brooklyn Nets +350
Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks +410
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder +460
Jayson Tatum Boston Celtics +550
Pascal Siakam Toronto Raptors +550
Domantis Sabonis Indiana Pacers +850
Patrick Beverley Los Angeles Clippers +900
Bam Adebayo Miami Heat +1,200

NBA SKILLS CHALLENGE BETTING PREDICTION

This year’s event features three former winners: Patrick Beverley (2015), Spencer Dinwiddie (2018) and Jayson Tatum (2019). While Dinwiddie has the best odds to win at +350, if recent history is any indication this is one contest where underdogs have a good chance of coming out on top.

Since the event started including big men in 2016, two players have won with the worst odds (Dinwiddie and Karl-Anthony Towns) while another took home the title with the second-worst odds (Kristaps Porzingis in 2016). Last year, Tatum won with the fifth-best odds at +600.

That said, we’re not taking the player with the worst odds this year. Adebayo is having a terrific season but he’s only connected on one 3-point shot all year (on 11 attempts), so the final step in this event could prove to be a challenge.

We like the +550 payout for Tatum to repeat, but our money is on the player tied with Tatum in the odds department: Raptors forward Pascal Siakam. Siakam is quicker and has better handles than many give him credit for, and he’s really improved his shot from beyond the arc this season (connecting on more than two 3-point shots per game at a clip of 36 percent).

Siakam also seems to play at his best when the pressure is on, so expect him to thrive under the spotlight in Chicago this weekend. We’re betting on the Raptors’ big man.