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Super Bowl odds and NFL MVP futures update: Big Game book not taking Titans lightly

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With only three weeks remaining in the regular season, Super Bowl favorites like the Ravens, 49ers, Saints, Patriots and Chiefs aren’t get any major overhauls in their Big Game futures – outside of an injury to a key player. However, the mid-tier teams vying for a postseason spot do see some big adjustments week to week. 

Covers senior industry analyst Jason Logan looks at the biggest climb and farthest fall in the Super Bowl LIV odds and dissects the MVP race, which is pretty much Lamar Jackson’s to lose.

BIGGEST RISE: TENNESSEE TITANS

OPEN: 60/1
WEEK 14: 80/1
WEEK 15: 50/1

What in the Ryan Tannehill is going on in the Music City? The Titans, who averaged less than 19 points per game through the first nine weeks of the season, have totaled 150 points during their current four-game winning streak and have everyone in the AFC sweating. This is a team no one wants to play in the postseason, what with a stingy defense and the sudden scoring surge. Tennessee has a monster game versus Houston this Thursday and then gets another shot at the Texans in Week 17 – a game that could decide the AFC South or have a Wild Card ticket on the line for the Titans.

BIGGEST FALL: OAKLAND RAIDERS

OPEN: 100/1
WEEK 14: 300/1
WEEK 15: 1,000/1

For a brief moment, the Silver and Black thought they might give Oakland a proper send off with the AFC West title within their grasp. Then the Raiders got their asses waxed at Kansas City and got up off the mat just long enough for Tennessee to land a KO punch, sending Oakland tumbling down the Big Game board and launching its mouthguard into the third row. The Raiders have been outscored 116-33 during their current three-game slide and head into the final game at the Coliseum versus Jacksonville this weekend before wrapping 2019 – and the Oakland Chapter of the franchise – on the road in the final two games. Viva Las Vegas.

MVP WATCH: LAMAR JACKSON, BALTIMORE RAVENS

OPEN: 100/1
WEEK 14: -300
WEEK 15: -800

This section of our weekly NFL futures odds update has been redundant since Week 7 when Jackson went head-to-head with fellow MVP frontrunner Russell Wilson at Seattle. He finished the game with so-so day passing numbers but rushed for 116 yards and touchdown – going full “Ready Player One” with the video game moves. Some would say betting Jackson at this point in the pricing is dumb, but if you’ve got the cheddar to get down big on -800 and don’t mind tying up that cash for a bit, it’s pretty much free money. A $5,000 investment returns $625 in profits. For those shaking their heads: if you found $625 on the ground, would you pick it up? You bet your ass you would. This is the same thing.

Canucks vs Golden Knights picks and predictions for Game 1

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Perhaps no team has been more fun to follow during the NHL playoffs than the Vancouver Canucks, and hockey bettors can still get the Canucks at +1,300 to hoist Lord Stanley’s cup. Vancouver is coming off a thrilling series win against the defending champion St. Louis Blues, but now a much more difficult challenge awaits. The Vegas Golden Knights are +350 favorites to win it all, and they’ve certainly looked the part while dropping only one playoff contest.

Game 1 of this series gets underway Sunday, so we’re here to bring you our NHL picks and predictions in this Western Conference semifinal showdown.

Vancouver Canucks vs Vegas Golden Knights betting preview

Starting Goalies

Canucks: Jacob Markstrom – playoffs – 7-3, 2.44 GAA, .929 SV% (season – 23-16, 2.75 GAA, .918 SV%)

Golden Knights: Robin Lehner – playoffs – 5-1, 2.44 GAA, .904 SV% (season – 19-10, 2.89, .920 SV%)

If this game was actually played in Las Vegas, then Markstrom could easily spend a few hours performing with Cirque du Soleil. The 30-year-old dazzled against Blues with an eye-opening array of acrobatic saves and an impressive 7-3 record. He’ll need to provide more of the same against a dangerous Vegas squad.

The Knights will likely roll with Robin Lehner, who has taken over the spot as Vegas’s starter in the crease—and rightfully so. Still, the Knights have the luxury of having Marc-Andre Fleury as their “backup.” The five-time All-Star matched an NHL record this season with his 14th consecutive playoff appearance.

Injuries

Vancouver: Tyler Myers D (out), Tyler Toffoli RW (out), Micheal Ferland LW (out), Josh Leivo LW (out)

Vegas: Tomas Nosek LW (out)

Betting Trend to Know

Canucks are 0-6 in their last six Sunday games. Find the latest NHL betting trends for Canucks vs. Golden Knights.

MONEYLINE PICK

The Canucks have been a force with the extra man during the postseason, converting 26.2% of their power plays. While the Knights are known for their offensive firepower, it’s their stingy defense that allows them to suffocate opponents—as evidenced by an 86.4% penalty kill during their playoff run. Vancouver is the only team in the league to never beat Vegas in regulation, going 0-11 all time. That’s something I just can’t ignore.

PREDICTION: Vegas ML (-175)

OVER/UNDER PICK

Each team is filled with loads of offensive talent. Vancouver’s Bo Horvat and J.T. Miller have combined for 11 goals thus far. Elias Pettersson has racked up 13 points, tied with Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon for the playoff lead.

The Knights can match Vancouver’s scorers, but they’re more balanced—Shea Theodore, Alex Tuch and Mark Stone have each lit the lamp four times during the postseason. The difference is on defense, where Vancouver has allowed the most high-danger chances of all remaining playoff teams.

PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (-110)

PROP PICK

Though I like Vegas to win, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Canucks kept it close and continued their offensive success. I’ll take a flyer on Vancouver scoring at least three goals.

PREDICTION: Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)

Canucks vs Golden Knights Betting Card

  • Vegas ML (-175)
  • Over 5.5 (-110)
  • Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)
NHL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NHL Canucks vs Golden Knights picks, you could win $104.93 on a $10 bet?

Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook