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Ravens vs Rams NFL betting picks and predictions: Back Baltimore’s fast starts

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The red-hot Baltimore Ravens head to Los Angeles to face the Rams on Monday Night Football.

The Ravens have the NFL’s highest scoring offense thanks to MVP front-runner Lamar Jackson. They are fresh off a 41-7 rout of the Houston Texans and are riding a six-game winning streak into Week 12.

The 6-4 Rams are coming off a 17-7 victory against the Chicago Bears and have been winning with a tough defense led by two-time defensive player of the year Aaron Donald.

From the first snap to the final whistle we break down the odds for this primetime matchup with our best bets and predictions. **video

BALTIMORE RAVENS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (+3, 46.5)

QUICK HITTER

Baltimore has gotten out to quick starts throughout the year, averaging 8.5 points per game during the first quarter, the second-highest total in the league. Their defense is also strong in the opening quarter holding opponents to just 2.4 ppg, which ranks third in the NFL.

With the Rams scoring just 3.2 ppg in the first 15 minutes (26th in the league), bank on Baltimore taking a lead into the first break.

PICK: First Quarter Baltimore -0.5 (+115)

FIRST HALF BET

It’s rare to see in this era of wide-open passing attacks, but the Ravens are riding their ground game to the No.1 scoring offense in the league. Baltimore has the most rushing yards in the NFL with 203.1 per game, 54 yards per game more than second-place San Francisco.

The Rams do have an excellent run-defense holding opponents to just 89.1 rushing yards per game. But the Ravens don’t have a traditional running game, relying on the legs of Lamar Jackson who is doing things as a runner that no NFL quarterback has ever accomplished.

Jackson has rushed for 781 yards through the first ten games of the season, while surpassing 60 rushing yards in seven consecutive contests. Don’t expect the Rams defense to have their usual success against the run versus Jackson and company.

With the Ravens averaging a league-high 17.8 ppg in the first half, take the Over on the Ravens 1H team total of 12.5.

PICK: First Half Team Total – Baltimore Over 12.5 (-120)

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

While L.A. will have a hard time stopping Jackson in the running game, they should be able corral Ravens lead back Mark Ingram. Ingram has enjoyed a solid year rushing for 667 yards but has rushed for 52 yards or fewer in five of his last six games.

With backup Gus Edwards stealing some carries and the Rams holding opponents to just 3.3 yards per carry, take the Under on Ingram’s rushing total.

PICK: Mark Ingram Under 53.5 rushing yards

FULL GAME TOTAL

The Ravens have a very strong pass defense, ranking third in the league in defensive pass DVOA according to Football Outsiders. The Rams are holding opponents to just 19.8 points per game thanks in large part to the monster that is Aaron Donald. That said, there are a few reasons we like the Over on Monday night.

We mentioned that the Rams will be dealing with a unique threat in Jackson and even if they slow down the Ravens offense, a team total in the high 20s still seems likely. Not only does Baltimore lead the league with 34.1 ppg but they’ve scored 30 points in each of their last four games, which included a matchup with the Patriots.

As for the Rams, while Jared Goff has played poorly this season he should have all three of his top receivers healthy on Monday. Brandin Crooks cleared concussion protocol after missing the last three games and Robert Woods is expected to play after sitting out last week due to personal reasons.

The Rams offensive line has struggled this year but played well last week, not allowing a sack against a dangerous Bears pass rush. The line also opened up holes for Todd Gurley who rushed for 97 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries. If Gurley is trending back towards anything close to the All-Pro he was in 2017 and 2018, L.A. will be able to move the chains against a Ravens stop-unit that hasn’t played well against the run, ranking 25th in the league in defensive rush DVOA.

While this game might not be a shootout the total seems a tad too low. Bet the Over.

PICK: Over 46.5

FULL GAME SIDE

The Rams have home-field advantage but Baltimore has been spectacular on the road. The Ravens are 4-1 in away games with an incredible scoring margin of plus-19.4 ppg.

Baltimore’s offense has been spectacular and Jackson has been able to beat teams with his feet and his arm, racking up 8.1 yards per pass attempt (sixth-best in the league) and throwing for 19 touchdowns against just five interceptions. His versatility should pose problems for the Rams defense.

On the other side of the ball, the Baltimore’s defense has been the best in the league since acquiring cornerback Marcus Peters in a trade from the Rams prior to Week 7. Since then they have won all four of their games by at least two touchdowns, and it’s not like they’ve been playing cupcakes. One of those victories was against Cincinnati but the other three wins came versus New England, Seattle and Houston.

Ride the hot hand and back the Ravens to cover.

PICK: Baltimore -3

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Sack it to me with this prop, and the NFL bets you need to make in Week 15

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Another brilliant Lamar Jackson performance is in the books, so we turn our attention to Sunday, where he break down our favorite bets for Week 15. From pointspreads and totals, to derivative markets and player props, we analyze all the angles to give you an edge on your NFL bets.

SACK IT TO ME

Another week and another bet against Kyle Allen getting sacked into oblivion. The Carolina quarterback has been sacked 21 times over his last four games and has been taken down on average of four times a game over his 11 starts.

The Seattle Seahawks have an even worse pressure rate than the Panthers, allowing opposing defenses to pressure Russell Wilson at a 36-percent rate which is the third-worst in the league.

Allen is 4-0 O/U on sacks totals of 5.5 in his last four games and we hope the trend continues into Week 16. We are riding the Over 5.5 sacks on the Seahawks/Panthers matchup for Sunday afternoon.

A SWIFT KICK TO ALDRICK

The windiest conditions this Sunday belong to MetLife Stadium. The Dolphins and Giants will see wind speeds of 13.3 miles per hour on Sunday which could definitely disrupt each teams’ kicking game.

The Giants sit in dead-last in field goals attempted per game at 1.2 and their kicker, Aldrick Rosas is converting just 71 percent of his kicks with a long of 45 yards.

The Dolphins are attempting 1.8 field goals a game (23rd) and converting kicks at a 73-percent rate. They did, however, kick eight field goals last week and made seven which is more than half of Rosas’ season total of 15 attempts.

We like the Dolphins to kick the longest field goal (-130) and wouldn’t mind the Under 45.5 yards for the longest field goal scored.

LOCK PICKING

Last week, we won some money on Tom Brady’s interception to the Kansas City Chiefs. K.C. has been picking off opposing QBs at will of late, forcing seven INTs in its last three games (Rivers 4, Carr 2, Brady 1). This week, they get Denver rookie QB Drew Lock who has looked good out of the gates but has also thrown an interception in each of his two starts.

Since Week 12, the Chiefs’ opponents are averaging nearly 40 passes a game which could give Lock lots of opportunities to turn it over in through the air in what will be his first divisional road game. We actually like what Lock has done which is win straight up at +320 and at +175 in back-to-back weeks, but we think rookies will make mistakes at Arrowhead.

Take the Over 0.5 Drew Lock interceptions (-200). If you that is too juicy for your liking, add Kyle Allen Over 0.5 INTs for a -105 payout if your book lets you parlay player props.

GIVE IT AWAY

Last week, away favorites went 4-1 ATS pushing their monthly total to 17-9 (65%). On the year, road chalk has hit at 53%. This week, the New England Patriots (-9.5 @ CIN), Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5 @ WSH), Seattle Seahawks (-6.5 @ CAR), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5 @ DET), Cleveland Browns (-3 @ ARZ), Minnesota Vikings (-2.5 @ LAC) and the Los Angeles Rams (-1.5 @ DAL) round out the list of road favorites.

Of these matchups, we are more confident with the Buccaneers. Tampa has the best run defense in the league and should stuff Detroit running back Bo Scarborough who is averaging nearly 20 carries a game since Week 12. The Bucs have the best chance to win if they force David Blough and his 38.3 QBR to keep up with Jameis Winston through the air.

Tampa has a great chance to cover 3.5 points against a Bottom-10 defense and an offense that gained just 231 yards last week. Ride the away favorites trend and take the Buccaneers -3.5.

OF MOSTERT AND MEN

San Francisco running back Raheem Mostert has separated himself with the 49ers RBBC and has been given the most opportunities of late. Niners coach Kyle Shannahan has said the RB has deserved the extra attention in the offense as Mostert has four touchdowns in his last three games.

Mostert saw 40 of his team’s 63 offensive snaps and had the only two RB red zone carries last week. This also comes on the heels of him seeing 74 percent of the offensive snaps in Week 13. This week the Monster will face a middle-of-the-pack Atlanta rush defense that doesn’t have anything to play for.

We are backing Mostert to score a rushing TD for the fourth straight game.

Complete 2019-20 college football bowl schedule: Matchup dates and odds for every game

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It’s December, which means it’s everyone’s favorite time of the year: college football bowl season! The college football regular season might be over, but the FBS bowl season will keep NCAAF bettors well-fed during the winter holidays. The main course will be the two games in the College Football Playoff involving LSU, Ohio State, Clemson and Oklahoma, but there are 37 other bowl games to whet your appetite for college football betting action.

Here’s a quick look at all the matchups, dates, times, locations, betting odds for all the bowl games:

DEC. 20

MAKERS WANTED BAHAMAS BOWL

Buffalo Bulls vs Charlotte 49ers
Location: Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas
Time/TV: 2:00 PM ET, ESPN

TROPICAL SMOOTHIE CAFE FRISCO BOWL

Utah State Aggies vs Kent State Golden Flashes
Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ESPN2

DEC. 21

NEW MEXICO BOWL

Central Michigan Chippewas vs San Diego State Aztecs
Location:
Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Time/TV: 2 PM ET, ESPN

CURE BOWL

Liberty Flames vs Georgia Southern Eagles
Location: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Time/TV: 2:30 PM ET, CBS Sports Network

CHERIBUNDI BOCA RATON BOWL

Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Florida Atlantic Owls
Location: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida
Time/TV: 3:30 PM ET, ABC

CAMELLIA BOWL

Florida International vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
Location: Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, Alabama
Time/TV: 5:30 PM ET, ESPN

MITSUBISHI MOTORS LAS VEGAS BOWL

(19) Boise State Broncos vs Washington Huskies
Location: Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ABC

R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL

(20) Appalachian State Mountaineers vs UAB Blazers
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Time/TV: 9 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 23

BAD BOY MOWERS GASPARILLA BOWL

UCF Knights vs Marshall Thundering Herd
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Time/TV: 2:30 PM ET, ESPN

SOFI HAWAII BOWL

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs BYU Cougars
Location: Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, Hawaii
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 26

WALK-ON’S INDEPENDENCE BOWL

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Miami Hurricanes
Location: Independence Stadium, Shreveport, Louisiana
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, ESPN

QUICK LANE BOWL

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 27

MILITARY BOWL PRESENTED BY NORTHROP GRUMMAN

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Temple Owls
Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
Time/TV: Noon ET, ESPN

NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL

Michigan State Spartans vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, New York
Time/TV: 3:20 PM ET, ESPN

ACADEMY SPORTS + OUTDOOR TEXAS BOWL

(25) Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas A&M Aggies
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Time/TV: 6:45 PM ET, ESPN

SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION HOLIDAY BOWL

(22) USC Trojans vs (16) Iowa Hawkeyes
Location: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, California
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, Fox Sports 1

CHEEZ-IT BOWL

Air Force Falcons vs Washington State Cougars
Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Time/TV: 10:15 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 28

CAMPING WORLD BOWL

(15) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Iowa State Cyclones
Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Time/TV: Noon ET, ABC

GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC

(17) Memphis Tigers vs (10) Penn State Nittany Lions
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Time/TV: Noon ET, ESPN

CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL

(4) Oklahoma Sooners vs (1) LSU Tigers
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, ESPN

PLAYSTATION FIESTA BOWL

(2) Ohio State Buckeyes vs (3) Clemson Tigers
Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 30

SERVPRO FIRST RESPONDER BOWL

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Western Michigan Broncos
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dalla, Texas
Time/TV: 12:30 PM ET, ESPN

FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Louisville Cardinals
Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, ESPN

REDBOX BOWL

California Golden Bears vs Illinois Fighting Illini
Location: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, Fox

CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL

(9) Florida Gators vs (24) Virginia Cavaliers
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 31

BELK BOWL

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Kentucky Wildcats
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Time/TV: Noon ET, ESPN

TONY THE TIGER SUN BOWL

Florida State Seminoles vs Arizona State Sun Devils
Location: Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas
Time/TV: 2 PM ET, CBS

AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL

(23) Navy Midshipmen vs Kansas State Wildcats
Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: 3:45 PM ET, ESPN

NOVA HOME LOANS ARIZONA BOWL

Wyoming Cowboys vs Georgia State Panthers
Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona
Time/TV: 4:30 PM ET, CBS Sports Network

VALERO ALAMO BOWL

(11) Utah Utes vs Texas Longhorns
Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 1

VRBO CITRUS BOWL

(14) Michigan Wolverines vs (13) Alabama Crimson Tide
Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Time/TV: 1 PM ET, ABC

OUTBACK BOWL

(18) Minnesota Golden Gophers vs (12) Auburn Tigers
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Time/TV: 1 PM ET, ESPN

ROSE BOWL PRESENTED BY NORTHWESTERN MUTAL

(8) Wisconsin Badgers vs (6) Oregon Ducks
Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
Time/TV: 5 PM ET, ESPN

ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL

(7) Baylor Bears vs (5) Georgia Bulldogs
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Time/TV: 8:45 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 2

TICKETSMARTER BIRMINGHAM BOWL

Boston College Eagles vs (21) Cincinnati Bearcats
Location: Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama
Time/TV: 3 PM ET, ESPN

TAXSLAYER GATORBOWL

Indiana Hoosiers vs Tennessee Volunteers
Location: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
Time/TV: 7 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 3

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL

Ohio Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack
Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
Time/TV: 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 4

LOCKHEED MARTIN ARMED FORCES BOWL

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Tulane Green Wave
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
Time/TV: 11:30 AM ET, ESPN

JAN. 6

LENDINGTREE BOWL

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs Miami (OH) RedHawks
Location: Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ESPN