Super Bowl odds and NFL MVP futures update: Dak puts a dent in the betting markets

Covers.comNov 19, 2019, 4:26 PM EST

The NFL schedule rounds the three-quarter mark in Week 12 and the potential Super Bowl contenders are down to a handful of teams. We look at the odds to win the Big Game – singling out the biggest rise and fall heading into this week’s action – and showcase one player putting a dent in the MVP futures.

BIGGEST RISE: DALLAS COWBOYS

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL LIV

OPEN: 20/1
WEEK 11: 40/1
WEEK 12: 20/1

With the Cowboys knocking off the Detroit Lions (without QB Matt Stafford) and the Eagles losing to the Patriots, Dallas jumps to the top of the NFC East with a 6-4 SU record entering Week 12. The Cowboys meet New England this Sunday, and should they beat the defending champs, expect America’s Team to slide way up the Super Bowl odds board. The Cowboys, however, haven’t played many quality QBs so far this season (losing to Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins) and take on the all-time best at the position in Foxborough this weekend.

BIGGEST FALL: HOUSTON TEXANS

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL LIV

OPEN: 30/1
WEEK 11: 20/1
WEEK 12: 40/1

Taking a loss to the Ravens isn’t that bad. Hell, even the Patriots have fallen to Baltimore. But taking a 41-7 defeat will definitely ding your stock in the Super Bowl futures. Houston’s losses have come against some quality opponents but with things getting tight in the AFC South, this week’s matchup versus the Colts will have a huge say in the Texans’ postseason hopes. They’ve already dropped one game with Indianapolis, and should they lose in Week 12, Houston is likely left grasping for a Wild Card ticket.

MVP WATCH: DAK PRESCOTT, DALLAS COWBOYS

ODDS TO WIN 2019 MFL MVP

OPEN: 100/1
WEEK 11: 20/1
WEEK 12: 14/1

Prescott pushed the Cowboys to victory with 444 yards passing and three touchdowns versus Detroit last Sunday. That came on the heels of a 397-yard, three-touchdown performance in a loss to Minnesota the week before. Prescott is among the second-tier contenders for NFL MVP – joining the likes of Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, and Christian McCaffrey – but would have to put up some huge numbers and lead Dallas to win out in the remaining games to get ahead of Lamar Jackson (+140) and Russell Wilson (+150).

Canucks vs Golden Knights picks and predictions for Game 1

Covers.comAug 22, 2020, 9:21 PM EDT

Perhaps no team has been more fun to follow during the NHL playoffs than the Vancouver Canucks, and hockey bettors can still get the Canucks at +1,300 to hoist Lord Stanley’s cup. Vancouver is coming off a thrilling series win against the defending champion St. Louis Blues, but now a much more difficult challenge awaits. The Vegas Golden Knights are +350 favorites to win it all, and they’ve certainly looked the part while dropping only one playoff contest.

Game 1 of this series gets underway Sunday, so we’re here to bring you our NHL picks and predictions in this Western Conference semifinal showdown.

Vancouver Canucks vs Vegas Golden Knights betting preview

Starting Goalies

Canucks: Jacob Markstrom – playoffs – 7-3, 2.44 GAA, .929 SV% (season – 23-16, 2.75 GAA, .918 SV%)

Golden Knights: Robin Lehner – playoffs – 5-1, 2.44 GAA, .904 SV% (season – 19-10, 2.89, .920 SV%)

If this game was actually played in Las Vegas, then Markstrom could easily spend a few hours performing with Cirque du Soleil. The 30-year-old dazzled against Blues with an eye-opening array of acrobatic saves and an impressive 7-3 record. He’ll need to provide more of the same against a dangerous Vegas squad.

The Knights will likely roll with Robin Lehner, who has taken over the spot as Vegas’s starter in the crease—and rightfully so. Still, the Knights have the luxury of having Marc-Andre Fleury as their “backup.” The five-time All-Star matched an NHL record this season with his 14th consecutive playoff appearance.

Injuries

Vancouver: Tyler Myers D (out), Tyler Toffoli RW (out), Micheal Ferland LW (out), Josh Leivo LW (out)

Vegas: Tomas Nosek LW (out)

Betting Trend to Know

Canucks are 0-6 in their last six Sunday games. Find the latest NHL betting trends for Canucks vs. Golden Knights.

MONEYLINE PICK

The Canucks have been a force with the extra man during the postseason, converting 26.2% of their power plays. While the Knights are known for their offensive firepower, it’s their stingy defense that allows them to suffocate opponents—as evidenced by an 86.4% penalty kill during their playoff run. Vancouver is the only team in the league to never beat Vegas in regulation, going 0-11 all time. That’s something I just can’t ignore.

PREDICTION: Vegas ML (-175)

OVER/UNDER PICK

Each team is filled with loads of offensive talent. Vancouver’s Bo Horvat and J.T. Miller have combined for 11 goals thus far. Elias Pettersson has racked up 13 points, tied with Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon for the playoff lead.

The Knights can match Vancouver’s scorers, but they’re more balanced—Shea Theodore, Alex Tuch and Mark Stone have each lit the lamp four times during the postseason. The difference is on defense, where Vancouver has allowed the most high-danger chances of all remaining playoff teams.

PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (-110)

More NHL Betting News

PROP PICK

Though I like Vegas to win, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Canucks kept it close and continued their offensive success. I’ll take a flyer on Vancouver scoring at least three goals.

PREDICTION: Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)

Canucks vs Golden Knights Betting Card

Vegas ML (-175)
Over 5.5 (-110)
Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)

NHL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NHL Canucks vs Golden Knights picks, you could win $104.93 on a $10 bet?

Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

Covers.comJul 27, 2020, 7:53 PM EDT

Getty Images

MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team	Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers	+350
New York Yankees	+350
Houston Astros	+600
Atlanta Braves	+1,600
Minnesota Twins	+1,600
Tampa Bay Rays	+1,800
Washington Nationals	+2,000
Cleveland Indians	+2,000
New York Mets	+2,000
Chicago Cubs	+2,000
Oakland Athletics	+2,000
St. Louis Cardinals	+2,500
Cincinnati Reds	+2,500
San Diego Padres	+2,500
Philadelphia Phillies	+3,000
Chicago White Sox	+3,000
Los Angeles Angels	+3,000
Milwaukee Brewers	+4,000
Boston Red Sox	+5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks	+6,000
Colorado Rockies	+8,000
Toronto Blue Jays	+10,000
Texas Rangers	+10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates	+20,000
Detroit Tigers	+20,000
San Francisco Giants	+30,000
Seattle Mariners	+30,000
Miami Marlins	+30,000
Baltimore Orioles	+30,000
Kansas City Royals	+30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook