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NFL Week 10 opening odds and early action: Book expects 49ers moneyline parlays/teasers vs. Seahawks

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An NFC West clash in the City by the Bay takes center stage for NFL Week 10. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action for that game and three others, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)

San Francisco puts its perfect record on the line in the Monday night game, which follows a mini-bye, as Kyle Shanahan’s squad played in the Week 9 Thursday nighter. The 49ers (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) took a 21-7 halftime lead at Arizona, then held on for a 27-24 victory as healthy 10.5-point road favorites.

The Niners are the NFL’s lone unbeaten team, after New England lost at Baltimore on Sunday night.

Seattle won five of its last six in working to keep pace with the Niners. In Week 9, the Seahawks (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) got stretched to overtime after a last-minute Tampa Bay touchdown, but got out with a 40-34 win and cover as 4-point home faves.

“We opened 49ers -6.5 and are still there,” Murray told Covers on Sunday night. “A lot of moneyline parlays and teasers are going to close with San Francisco. Seattle is not nearly as good as its record. Although in fairness, San Francisco probably isn’t either.”

 

 

Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Dallas returns from its bye week after snapping a three-game SU and ATS skid in Week 8. The Cowboys (4-3 SU and ATS) rumbled over Philadelphia 37-10 laying 3 points at home.

Meanwhile, Minnesota blew an opportunity to beat a Kansas City team that was minus Patrick Mahomes in Week 9. The Vikings (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) went off as 5.5-point road favorites and lost outright 26-23 on a final-seconds field goal.

“We opened Cowboys -3 (-110) and took some Vikings money, and we are now at -3 (even),” Murray said. “We will need the Vikings by kickoff.”

Which will be in prime time, as this is the Week 10 Sunday night game.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (-5)

Green Bay was a popular Week 9 play with sharps and the public, but saw its four-game win streak end. The Packers (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) were 4-point road favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers, yet never led in a 26-11 setback.

Carolina rebounded from a San Francisco slaughter while moving to 5-1 SU and ATS behind Kyle Allen, subbing for the injured Cam Newton. The Panthers (5-3 SU and ATS) topped Tennessee 30-20 giving 3.5 points at home in Week 9.

“We opened Packers -5 and are now at -5.5 off some bets,” Murray said. “The Packers are another team that isn’t as good as their record, and they were exposed a little this week by the Chargers.”

Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5)

At the season’s midway point, defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles finds itself looking up at two teams in the NFC West, San Francisco and Seattle. The Rams (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) had their bye in Week 9, after beating Cincinnati 24-10 as 12-point home favorites in Week 8.

Pittsburgh is doing what it can to salvage a season in which Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) was lost for the year in Week 2. The Steelers (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) squeaked by Indianapolis 26-24 as 1-point home favorites, winning after the Colts missed a late field goal.

“We opened Rams -3.5 and have been pushed up to -4,” Murray said. “The Rams will be one of the most public sides next week. Books will be Steelers fans.”

Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers.com. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.

 

 

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook

MLB picks and predictions for Opening Day

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It was a long and scary road, but we finally get MLB betting back on Thursday, July 23. Opening Day of the pandemic-shortened 60-game baseball schedule is headlined by a pair of matchups, with the New York Yankees visiting the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers rekindling their rivalry with the San Francisco Giants.

Like we do each MLB season (COVID-19 or not), we’ll be taking a swing at today’s baseball odds and giving our best MLB picks and predictions. Up first: Opening Day 2020.

MLB picks for today

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was supposed to miss the start of the season back in the spring, but the delay to the 2020 campaign allowed the outfielder to heal up from broken ribs and return to his longball-launching self.

Judge looked great in New York’s warmup games, albeit for a limited number of at-bats. He went 3-for-7 with all three hits leaving the ballpark. And he wasn’t alone, with the Yankees’ other power bats providing plenty of pop around him in the order. He’ll get a chance to go yard again on Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Aaron Judge home run (+210)

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants are no strangers to Clayton Kershaw, who has long dominated the Dodgers’ divisional foes. In 49 career appearances against San Francisco, The Claw is 23-12 with a 1.74 ERA and has allowed just 0.71 hits per innings pitched in those starts.

The Giants don’t pose much of an offensive threat, averaging 8.22 hits per game in 2019. San Francisco has managed 45 total hits in its last eight starts against Kershaw – an average of 0.86 hits per inning faced. Given the Dodgers’ ace looked ready for work in his tune-up efforts, we could see him go seven innings or more on Thursday, panning out to a little over six hits for San Fran.

PREDICTION: Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)

Mookie Betts has reportedly landed a whale of a contract extension with the Dodgers after joining the ballclub this offseason via a trade with the Boston Red Sox. And what better way to lock down that deal than an impressive effort on Opening Day.

Betts recorded 313 total bases in 2019 (30th) and 353 in 2018 (fourth). He’s been swinging well in training sessions this offseason: in 27 at-bats during the spring/summer schedule, he has 13 total bases, including two doubles and a home run, while hitting leadoff during Summer Camp. We like that to continue into Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)

Top MLB consensus for today

Want to know who today’s biggest MLB betting and consensus bets are right now? Check out our top MLB consensus picks.

Opening Day betting card

  • Aaron Judge home run (+210)
  • Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)
  • Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)