Cowboys vs Giants NFL betting picks and predictions: Dallas will go deep on Monday Night Football

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We’ve got an NFC East battle on Monday Night Football as the Dallas Cowboys head to the Meadowlands to take on the New York Giants. The Cowboys are 4-3 and sitting at first place in the division after a 37-10 rout of Philadelphia, while the Giants are 2-6 and coming off a tough loss on the road in Detroit.

This game features two of the best running backs in the league with Ezekiel Elliot leading the way for the Cowboys while Saquon Barkley carries the offensive load for the Giants. However, the final score could have more to do with which side has the advantage in the passing game.

From the kickoff to the final whistle we break down the odds for this rivalry with our best bets and predictions. **video

DALLAS COWBOYS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+6.5, 48 @ BETAMERICA)

QUICK HITTER

Besides Skip Bayless there aren’t many that consider Dak Prescott an elite quarterback, but the Giants defense might make him look one on Monday night. New York’s pass defense is one of the worst in the NFL, allowing a 70.2 completion percentage (29th in the league) and 8.5 yards per attempt (30th) to opposing QBs.

These teams tangled back in Week 1 and Prescott scorched the G-Men for 405 yards and four touchdowns throw the air. Expect the Cowboys to come out of the gate airing the ball out against a Giants team that allows 8.0 points per game in the opening quarter.

The Cowboys allow 5.4 first-quarter ppg which ranks 21st in the league, and that number has ballooned up to 9.3 ppg over their last three games. When you consider that the Cowboys allow opposing running backs 4.4 yards per carry and 43.8 receiving yards per game, and are going up against one of the best RBs in the league in Barkley, the Giants could move the chains early as well. Take the Over on the first-quarter total.

PICK: First quarter total Over 9.5 (-115)

FIRST HALF BET

The Giants are allowing a whopping 18.2 ppg in the first 30 minutes, the worst number in the NFL. The Cowboys put up 27 points in the first half against Philadelphia last week and scored three first-half touchdowns against the G-Men in their previous matchup.

While Prescott and the passing game destroyed the Giants in that encounter, Ezekiel Elliott was held in check to the tune of 53 rushing yards on 13 carries. But Elliot is simply too good to contain again. While many star running backs tend to get stronger as the game goes on, Elliot is actually more effective in the early going rushing for 49.1 rushing yards and 4.6 yards per carry before half time.

Back the Over on the Cowboys 1H team total.

PICK: First half team points Dallas Over 13.5 (-120)

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

Cowboys WR Amari Cooper is coming off 106 receiving yards last week against the Eagles and had an identical 106-yard performance in Week 1 against the Giants. Cooper is far and away Prescott’s go-to receiver and he’s been one of the best wideouts in the league since joining the Cowboys last season.

Cooper has now played 16 regular-season games with the Cowboys going back to last year and has 91 catches for 1,341 yards and 11 touchdowns over that span. According to Football Outsiders, the Giants have the third-worst defensive DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers, and they’ve been getting burned deep all year allowing 26 receptions of 20+ yards to opposing WRs.

With Cooper eighth in the league with 10 catches for more than 20 yards, back him to have a huge day and take the Over on his receiving yards.

PICK: Amari Cooper Over 82.5 receiving yards (-115)

FULL GAME TOTAL

Like any rookie QB, Giants first-rounder Daniel Jones makes his share of mistakes but he’s not afraid to attack downfield and should be oozing with confidence after his 322-yard four TD performance against the Lions last week. And for pretty much the first time this season Jones will have all his weapons at his disposal with Sterling Shepherd expected to be back in action alongside Golden Tate, Evan Engram, rookie speedster Darius Slayton and the monster that is Saquon Barkley.

New York should be able to put up some points against an inconsistent Cowboys defense that is ranked just 19th in the league in defensive DVOA. The Giants’ biggest worry will be on the defensive side of the ball where their stop-unit ranks 26th in DVOA and gave up 494 yards and 35 points to Dallas in Week 1. Take the Over.

PICK: Over 48 (-110)

FULL GAME SIDE

At first glance, this looks like a trap game. You’ve got a divisional rivalry with the home underdog finally looking healthy and their first-year signal-caller coming off a career game. But the Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these teams and have dominated NFC East foes recently, going 13-3 ATS in their previous 16 contests against divisional opponents.

The Giants are simply awful on the defensive side of the ball and won’t have the speed or athleticism to keep up with Dallas downfield. In addition, they have a troubling tendency to turn the ball over, with 2.4 giveaways per game which tied for the most in the league.

Dallas also has the top offense in the league on third downs, converting 51.9 percent of the time. And while their overall defense isn’t the best they are excellent on third downs, holding opponents to a conversion rate of 26.3 percent, the second-best rate after New England.

Don’t be surprised to see this one turn into a shoot-out but the G-Men simply don’t have the defense to slow the Cowboys down, and turning the ball over will prove costly when they’re in catch-up mode.

PICK: Dallas -6.5 (-110)

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook

MLB picks and predictions for Opening Day

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It was a long and scary road, but we finally get MLB betting back on Thursday, July 23. Opening Day of the pandemic-shortened 60-game baseball schedule is headlined by a pair of matchups, with the New York Yankees visiting the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers rekindling their rivalry with the San Francisco Giants.

Like we do each MLB season (COVID-19 or not), we’ll be taking a swing at today’s baseball odds and giving our best MLB picks and predictions. Up first: Opening Day 2020.

MLB picks for today

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was supposed to miss the start of the season back in the spring, but the delay to the 2020 campaign allowed the outfielder to heal up from broken ribs and return to his longball-launching self.

Judge looked great in New York’s warmup games, albeit for a limited number of at-bats. He went 3-for-7 with all three hits leaving the ballpark. And he wasn’t alone, with the Yankees’ other power bats providing plenty of pop around him in the order. He’ll get a chance to go yard again on Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Aaron Judge home run (+210)

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants are no strangers to Clayton Kershaw, who has long dominated the Dodgers’ divisional foes. In 49 career appearances against San Francisco, The Claw is 23-12 with a 1.74 ERA and has allowed just 0.71 hits per innings pitched in those starts.

The Giants don’t pose much of an offensive threat, averaging 8.22 hits per game in 2019. San Francisco has managed 45 total hits in its last eight starts against Kershaw – an average of 0.86 hits per inning faced. Given the Dodgers’ ace looked ready for work in his tune-up efforts, we could see him go seven innings or more on Thursday, panning out to a little over six hits for San Fran.

PREDICTION: Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)

Mookie Betts has reportedly landed a whale of a contract extension with the Dodgers after joining the ballclub this offseason via a trade with the Boston Red Sox. And what better way to lock down that deal than an impressive effort on Opening Day.

Betts recorded 313 total bases in 2019 (30th) and 353 in 2018 (fourth). He’s been swinging well in training sessions this offseason: in 27 at-bats during the spring/summer schedule, he has 13 total bases, including two doubles and a home run, while hitting leadoff during Summer Camp. We like that to continue into Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)

Top MLB consensus for today

Want to know who today’s biggest MLB betting and consensus bets are right now? Check out our top MLB consensus picks.

Opening Day betting card

  • Aaron Judge home run (+210)
  • Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)
  • Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)