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College football Week 7 opening odds: Oklahoma draws early money vs. Texas in Red River Rivalry

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Week 7 of the college football season features the Red River Rivalry and a matchup of unbeatens in the Southeastern Conference. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA.

No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 11 Texas Longhorns (+9.5)

Oklahoma aims to keep its College Football Playoff hopes on track in this neutral-site game, at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. In Week 6, the Sooners (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) gave up the opening touchdown at Kansas, then scored 42 straight points en route to a 45-20 victory as 32-point favorites.

Texas has certainly prepared well for this contest, with a stern Week 2 test in a close loss to Louisiana State and challenging Big 12 games the past two weeks. The Longhorns (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) were challenged through three quarters at West Virginia, then scored 21 points in the fourth to notch a 42-31 victory as 10.5-point faves.

PointsBet USA, with mobile operations in New Jersey and a brick-and-mortar in Iowa, saw some back-and-forth action after posting this line.

“We opened the game Oklahoma -9.5 and saw some early support at that number,” Chaprales said. “We moved it through 10 to 10.5 and got some resistance, resulting in an adjustment back to 10.”

It didn’t take long for the Sooners to go back to -10.5, though, as the line ticked back up by Monday afternoon.

No. 7 Florida Gators at No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers (-13)

Florida threw its hat firmly into the CFP ring with a big Week 6 victory. The Gators (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) closed as 2.5-point home underdogs to previously unbeaten Auburn and took care of business in a 24-13 victory.

LSU got that aforementioned win at Texas, but otherwise hasn’t been challenged much, and Week 6 was no exception. The Tigers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) pounded Utah State 42-6 laying 27 points at home.

Despite Florida’s strong showing against Auburn, the Gators are catching double digits in this contest.

“Florida garnered sharp support as a home ‘dog vs Auburn last week and won outright, and pros will likely be on the Gators again this week, assuming public LSU money inflates the number,” Chaprales said. “That’s a plausible scenario, as the Tigers have done nothing but cash tickets thus far.”

No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes (+3)

Penn State also hopes to be in the CFP conversation, currently standing at 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS). The Nittany Lions had little trouble in Week 6, dispatching Purdue 35-7 while falling just short as 28.5-point favorites.

Iowa had a great opportunity to bolster its Big Ten resume and remain unbeaten, but couldn’t find the end zone in Week 6. In an extremely low-scoring contest, the Hawkeyes (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) fell to Michigan 10-3 as 4-point road pups.

“Another stiff test for Iowa after a hard-fought loss to Michigan last week,” Chaprales said. “Early action has laid the 3 with Penn State, but it will take more to instigate a move, given the key number at play.”

PointsBet’s book at Catfish Bend Casino in Iowa will likely generate a lot of Hawkeyes action, as it did last week against Michigan.

Southern California Trojans at No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11.5)

Notre Dame is 4-1 SU and ATS, and arguably its best game this season was the lone loss, 23-17 at Georgia getting 15.5 points in Week 4. The Fighting Irish boatraced Bowling Green 52-0 as massive 45.5-point home favorites in Week 6.

Southern Cal hopes to have true freshman Kedon Slovis back from concussion protocol in time for the trip to South Bend. Slovis was hurt in a Week 3 overtime loss at Brigham Young. The Trojans (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) had a bye in Week 6, after third-string QB Matt Fink and Co. lost at Washington 28-14 catching 12.5 points.

“Notre Dame has gotten the better of this matchup in the recent past and has been steadily covering numbers,” Chaprales said. “Which is to say we’re going to need USC. It’s just a matter of how much.”

Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook

MLB picks and predictions for Opening Day

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It was a long and scary road, but we finally get MLB betting back on Thursday, July 23. Opening Day of the pandemic-shortened 60-game baseball schedule is headlined by a pair of matchups, with the New York Yankees visiting the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers rekindling their rivalry with the San Francisco Giants.

Like we do each MLB season (COVID-19 or not), we’ll be taking a swing at today’s baseball odds and giving our best MLB picks and predictions. Up first: Opening Day 2020.

MLB picks for today

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge was supposed to miss the start of the season back in the spring, but the delay to the 2020 campaign allowed the outfielder to heal up from broken ribs and return to his longball-launching self.

Judge looked great in New York’s warmup games, albeit for a limited number of at-bats. He went 3-for-7 with all three hits leaving the ballpark. And he wasn’t alone, with the Yankees’ other power bats providing plenty of pop around him in the order. He’ll get a chance to go yard again on Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Aaron Judge home run (+210)

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants are no strangers to Clayton Kershaw, who has long dominated the Dodgers’ divisional foes. In 49 career appearances against San Francisco, The Claw is 23-12 with a 1.74 ERA and has allowed just 0.71 hits per innings pitched in those starts.

The Giants don’t pose much of an offensive threat, averaging 8.22 hits per game in 2019. San Francisco has managed 45 total hits in its last eight starts against Kershaw – an average of 0.86 hits per inning faced. Given the Dodgers’ ace looked ready for work in his tune-up efforts, we could see him go seven innings or more on Thursday, panning out to a little over six hits for San Fran.

PREDICTION: Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)

Mookie Betts has reportedly landed a whale of a contract extension with the Dodgers after joining the ballclub this offseason via a trade with the Boston Red Sox. And what better way to lock down that deal than an impressive effort on Opening Day.

Betts recorded 313 total bases in 2019 (30th) and 353 in 2018 (fourth). He’s been swinging well in training sessions this offseason: in 27 at-bats during the spring/summer schedule, he has 13 total bases, including two doubles and a home run, while hitting leadoff during Summer Camp. We like that to continue into Opening Day.

PREDICTION: Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)

Top MLB consensus for today

Want to know who today’s biggest MLB betting and consensus bets are right now? Check out our top MLB consensus picks.

Opening Day betting card

  • Aaron Judge home run (+210)
  • Giants between 6-7 total hits (+235)
  • Mookie Betts two or more total bases (-182)