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Super Bowl odds and NFL MVP futures update: Colts climb and Eagles crash

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Week 3 of the NFL schedule started to separate the contenders from the pretenders, which is reflected in the odds to win Super Bowl LIV. 

Plenty of teams moved up and down the NFL futures board after this week’s action, and Jason Logan points out the most notable climbs and falls as well as the biggest jump in the NFL MVP odds.

BIGGEST RISE: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL LIV

OPEN: 20/1
POST-LUCK: 200/1
WEEK 3: 80/1
WEEK 4: 60/1

The 2-1 Colts are making Indianapolis fans forget all about Andrew Luck with their strong start to the season. And, if not for some botched kicks, this team would be 3-0 heading into a home game against the Oakland Raiders (Colts -7). It would seem, given this Sunday’s soft opponent, that Indy will be moving to 3-1 and these Super Bowl odds will once again slim heading into Week 5.

Indianapolis has played a controlled offense with new No. 1 Jacoby Brissett under center, sitting sixth in rushing yards per game (149.7) and holding on to the football for an average of 31:48 (ninth most TOP). The defense has hasn’t been overwhelming by any means but has done enough to give the offense a chance to win games.

Injuries are starting to stack up for the Colts on both sides of the ball, most notably top WR T.Y. Hilton who left Week 3 after re-aggravating a quad issue that limited him last week. His status for Sunday is up in the air as of Tuesday.

BIGGEST FALL: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL LIV

OPEN: 20/1
WEEK 3: 12/1
WEEK 4: 25/1

The Eagles are suddenly 1-2 to start 2019, more than doubling their payout in the Super Bowl futures after losing at home to Detroit on Sunday. Injuries are the biggest culprit for this club, with missing pieces in the passing game really showing up in Week 3, leading to some bad dropped balls (and some unbelievable shade being thrown at Nelson Agholor).

But looking deeper, slow starts continue to be the thorn in Philadelphia’s side. Last season, the Eagles averaged only 3.2 points per first quarter and put up goose eggs in the opening frame of the first two games of 2019. Philly scored 10 first-quarter points versus the Lions but followed that with a scoreless second quarter Sunday. This team has trailed at the half in seven of its last eight games with QB Carson Wentz taking snaps and has gone on to lose six of those seven matchups.

A short week won’t help the Eagles’ injury issues in Week 4, with the schedule sending them to Lambeau Field Thursday night. Philadelphia is a 4.5-point road underdog versus Green Bay and while it should get Alshon Jeffery back at WR, the defense will be missing some key bodies.

NFL MVP WATCH: DAK PRESCOTT, DALLAS COWBOYS

ODDS TO WIN MVP

OPEN: 100/1
WEEK 3: 12/1
WEEK 4: 8/1

Nothing puffs up a stat line quite like playing some terrible defenses. That’s not taking away from what Prescott and this Cowboys offense has done – he’s made some incredible throws – but the first three opponents (Giants, Redskins, Dolphins) all rank near the bottom in yards allowed per play so far this year. And Week 4’s foe – the New Orleans Saints – is right there among those stagnant stop units, giving up 6.7 yards per play.

Prescott has amassed 920 yards on a 74.5 completion percentage (best in NFL), for 9.8 yards per completion, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. His 94.0 QBR is also tops in the NFL heading into Week 4. Sprinkle in the fact that the Cowboys are “America’s Team”, and you have some Texas-sized MVP hype for Mr. Rayne Dakota Prescott.

Dallas is 3-0 heading into Sunday night’s stay-over in New Orleans, giving about a field goal to the host Saints. Following that primetime matchup, the Cowboys are back home to face Green Bay in Week 5 – their toughest defensive test of 2019.

Canucks vs Golden Knights picks and predictions for Game 1

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Perhaps no team has been more fun to follow during the NHL playoffs than the Vancouver Canucks, and hockey bettors can still get the Canucks at +1,300 to hoist Lord Stanley’s cup. Vancouver is coming off a thrilling series win against the defending champion St. Louis Blues, but now a much more difficult challenge awaits. The Vegas Golden Knights are +350 favorites to win it all, and they’ve certainly looked the part while dropping only one playoff contest.

Game 1 of this series gets underway Sunday, so we’re here to bring you our NHL picks and predictions in this Western Conference semifinal showdown.

Vancouver Canucks vs Vegas Golden Knights betting preview

Starting Goalies

Canucks: Jacob Markstrom – playoffs – 7-3, 2.44 GAA, .929 SV% (season – 23-16, 2.75 GAA, .918 SV%)

Golden Knights: Robin Lehner – playoffs – 5-1, 2.44 GAA, .904 SV% (season – 19-10, 2.89, .920 SV%)

If this game was actually played in Las Vegas, then Markstrom could easily spend a few hours performing with Cirque du Soleil. The 30-year-old dazzled against Blues with an eye-opening array of acrobatic saves and an impressive 7-3 record. He’ll need to provide more of the same against a dangerous Vegas squad.

The Knights will likely roll with Robin Lehner, who has taken over the spot as Vegas’s starter in the crease—and rightfully so. Still, the Knights have the luxury of having Marc-Andre Fleury as their “backup.” The five-time All-Star matched an NHL record this season with his 14th consecutive playoff appearance.

Injuries

Vancouver: Tyler Myers D (out), Tyler Toffoli RW (out), Micheal Ferland LW (out), Josh Leivo LW (out)

Vegas: Tomas Nosek LW (out)

Betting Trend to Know

Canucks are 0-6 in their last six Sunday games. Find the latest NHL betting trends for Canucks vs. Golden Knights.

MONEYLINE PICK

The Canucks have been a force with the extra man during the postseason, converting 26.2% of their power plays. While the Knights are known for their offensive firepower, it’s their stingy defense that allows them to suffocate opponents—as evidenced by an 86.4% penalty kill during their playoff run. Vancouver is the only team in the league to never beat Vegas in regulation, going 0-11 all time. That’s something I just can’t ignore.

PREDICTION: Vegas ML (-175)

OVER/UNDER PICK

Each team is filled with loads of offensive talent. Vancouver’s Bo Horvat and J.T. Miller have combined for 11 goals thus far. Elias Pettersson has racked up 13 points, tied with Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon for the playoff lead.

The Knights can match Vancouver’s scorers, but they’re more balanced—Shea Theodore, Alex Tuch and Mark Stone have each lit the lamp four times during the postseason. The difference is on defense, where Vancouver has allowed the most high-danger chances of all remaining playoff teams.

PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (-110)

PROP PICK

Though I like Vegas to win, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Canucks kept it close and continued their offensive success. I’ll take a flyer on Vancouver scoring at least three goals.

PREDICTION: Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)

Canucks vs Golden Knights Betting Card

  • Vegas ML (-175)
  • Over 5.5 (-110)
  • Canucks total goals Over 2.5 (-100)
NHL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NHL Canucks vs Golden Knights picks, you could win $104.93 on a $10 bet?

Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Verlander injury shuffles Astros’ MLB futures odds

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MLB betting got a shake-up Sunday afternoon, specifically on World Series odds and AL pennant odds, with news that Astros star pitcher Justin Verlander could miss the rest of the season – or at least a significant chunk of it – with an arm injury.

Initial reports suggested Verlander had an elbow ailment, but both he and manager Dusty Baker quickly denied that. Baker called it a forearm strain and said that Verlander would be re-evaluated in “a couple of weeks.” The reigning AL Cy Young winner pitched a solid six innings in an 8-2 Opening Day rout of the Seattle Mariners on Friday.

Verlander’s injury led oddsmakers to shuffle futures book odds on the defending AL champions. Covers checked in on the MLB odds moves with a couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ World Series odds?

At CG Technology books, risk analyst Rich Zanco said the Astros quickly moved from +1,200 to +1,800 in World Series futures. The SuperBook at Westgate also had Houston pegged +1,200 prior to Sunday’s news and initially went to +1,600, then dialed it a little further to +1,800.

However, there were apparently buyers on the Astros at that point, prompting the SuperBook to reel the price in to +1,400.

How does Verlander’s injury affect Astros’ American League odds?

In AL pennant futures, the Astros initially moved from +600 to +800 at The SuperBook, then ticked back to +700.

World Series odds

Team Odds to win
Los Angeles Dodgers +350
New York Yankees +350
Houston Astros +600
Atlanta Braves +1,600
Minnesota Twins +1,600
Tampa Bay Rays +1,800
Washington Nationals +2,000
Cleveland Indians +2,000
New York Mets +2,000
Chicago Cubs +2,000
Oakland Athletics +2,000
St. Louis Cardinals +2,500
Cincinnati Reds +2,500
San Diego Padres +2,500
Philadelphia Phillies +3,000
Chicago White Sox +3,000
Los Angeles Angels +3,000
Milwaukee Brewers +4,000
Boston Red Sox +5,000
Arizona Diamondbacks +6,000
Colorado Rockies +8,000
Toronto Blue Jays +10,000
Texas Rangers +10,000
Pittsburgh Pirates +20,000
Detroit Tigers +20,000
San Francisco Giants +30,000
Seattle Mariners +30,000
Miami Marlins +30,000
Baltimore Orioles +30,000
Kansas City Royals +30,000

Odds courtesy The SuperBook