Rams vs Browns NFL betting picks and predictions: L.A. primed to break out passing game

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The Cleveland Browns bounced back on Monday after a lackluster performance in the season opener, but now have to face a real test as they welcome the defending NFC champion Los Angeles Rams to Cleveland on Sunday Night. **video

The Rams enter this matchup 2-0 SU/ATS behind a healthy (for now) running game and a strong defense. But will that be enough to cover 3.5-point as a road favorite for this prime time matchup? From the opening kickoff to the final whistle, we break down the best ways to wager Sunday night football.

LOS ANGELES RAMS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (+3.5, 46.5 @ BETAMERICA)

QUICK HITTER

The NFL really is a “what have you done for me lately” league. For instance, the Rams are averaging 28.5 points per game through the first two weeks of the season. That’s sixth best in the league. But people are still wondering with is wrong with the L.A. offense that averaged 32.9 points per contest last season.

The Rams ground game behind Todd Gurley (whose knee is holding up for now) and Malcolm Brown has been effective, but the passing game hasn’t looked as sharp. But this matchup is set up for Sean McVay’s offense to break out.

The Browns pass defense is banged up, with their top two corners questionable, but worse than that, they just haven’t played very well. The ever-inconsistent Marcus Mariota picked them apart, and as much as everyone wants to make fun of Luke Falk, he still put up 200 yards in less than a full game.

Expect McVay to have something dialed up early and to take a lead into the second quarter.

Pick: Rams -0.5 (+120) First Quarter Spread

FIRST HALF BET

While the Rams seems set up to break out, who knows what you can expect out of the gates from the Browns. They looked awful in their Week 1 loss to Tennessee and you really can’t take anything away from their game against the Jets “B” squad last Monday. Well, maybe nothing positive.

The Browns looked lost on offense at times last week. It seemed like they were constantly slow to the line. And realistically, if it wasn’t for some great plays from Odell Beckham Jr. and Nick Chubb, that game against the Jets could have been a whole lot uglier.

And now they must go up against the likes of Aaron Donald and the Rams defense, which is once again showing it is a strong unit, ranking in the Top 10 in total yards, passing defense, rushing defense and points allowed. It could take a while for the Browns to get going in this one.

Pick: Browns Under 9.5 First Half Team Total (+100)

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

We already mentioned that we like the Rams passing offense to really get going in this one and that leads right into our favorite prop play of the game.

Jared Goff is averaging just 224 yards per game thus far this season, but could find success against this Browns secondary. Even if Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams weren’t listed as questionable, they haven’t played overly well this season anyway, particularly Ward. Titans rookie A.J. Brown burned Ward for 100 yards on three catches and then Robby Anderson grabbed four passes for 81 yards.

The Rams leading receiver varies from week-to-week, especially now that Cooper Kupp is back, but that depth will come in handy against the thin Browns secondary and we think that benefits steady Robert Woods the most. Woods continues to be Goff’s safety blanket making his receiving yards total too low in this one. Woods has eclipsed the current number of 64.5 in 14 of his last 17 regular season games. We like Kupp to go Over 69.5 yards as well, but if we have to take one, we’re going with Woods.

Pick: Robert Woods Over 64.5 Receiving Yards

FULL GAME TOTAL

This total hit the board at a nice high 51, and bettors promptly hammered the Under, moving the number all the way down to its current 47. This has to due with the fact that the Browns just haven’t looked very good so far. They have some good numbers on offense, but a lot of those came in garbage time against the Titans and from some big plays against the Jets. Not to mention Goff’s inefficacies this season and his struggles on the road from a year ago.

That said, has this number moved a touch too low? The Rams are set up well to score here. Gurley and Brown should find some rushing lanes against the Browns defense that struggled against Derrick Henry and still allowed LeV’eon Bell to get over 120 total yards despite the fact he looked like the only professional football player on the field for the Jets.

But this all comes back to the fact that McVay will try to unleash Goff in this matchup. And while the Browns haven’t been pretty on offense, they have enough talent at the skill positions to put a few points on the board.

Pick: Over 47

FULL GAME SIDE

Baker Mayfield needs to play his best game of the season if the Browns want to win this game. He’s been sacked eight times and thrown four picks already this season. And frankly, he just hasn’t looked very comfortable in the pocket at his point. To make matters worse for the Browns, they are the most heavily penalized team in the NFL, getting 27 flag thrown against them. That’s seven more than the next closest team.

If the Browns are unable to find some consistency on offense, and continues to lack disciple, they are going to be in real trouble against a talented Rams team, that despite scoring 57 points in two weeks is trying to really still get going.

Pick: Rams -3.5

 

Sack it to me with this prop, and the NFL bets you need to make in Week 15

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Another brilliant Lamar Jackson performance is in the books, so we turn our attention to Sunday, where he break down our favorite bets for Week 15. From pointspreads and totals, to derivative markets and player props, we analyze all the angles to give you an edge on your NFL bets.

SACK IT TO ME

Another week and another bet against Kyle Allen getting sacked into oblivion. The Carolina quarterback has been sacked 21 times over his last four games and has been taken down on average of four times a game over his 11 starts.

The Seattle Seahawks have an even worse pressure rate than the Panthers, allowing opposing defenses to pressure Russell Wilson at a 36-percent rate which is the third-worst in the league.

Allen is 4-0 O/U on sacks totals of 5.5 in his last four games and we hope the trend continues into Week 16. We are riding the Over 5.5 sacks on the Seahawks/Panthers matchup for Sunday afternoon.

A SWIFT KICK TO ALDRICK

The windiest conditions this Sunday belong to MetLife Stadium. The Dolphins and Giants will see wind speeds of 13.3 miles per hour on Sunday which could definitely disrupt each teams’ kicking game.

The Giants sit in dead-last in field goals attempted per game at 1.2 and their kicker, Aldrick Rosas is converting just 71 percent of his kicks with a long of 45 yards.

The Dolphins are attempting 1.8 field goals a game (23rd) and converting kicks at a 73-percent rate. They did, however, kick eight field goals last week and made seven which is more than half of Rosas’ season total of 15 attempts.

We like the Dolphins to kick the longest field goal (-130) and wouldn’t mind the Under 45.5 yards for the longest field goal scored.

LOCK PICKING

Last week, we won some money on Tom Brady’s interception to the Kansas City Chiefs. K.C. has been picking off opposing QBs at will of late, forcing seven INTs in its last three games (Rivers 4, Carr 2, Brady 1). This week, they get Denver rookie QB Drew Lock who has looked good out of the gates but has also thrown an interception in each of his two starts.

Since Week 12, the Chiefs’ opponents are averaging nearly 40 passes a game which could give Lock lots of opportunities to turn it over in through the air in what will be his first divisional road game. We actually like what Lock has done which is win straight up at +320 and at +175 in back-to-back weeks, but we think rookies will make mistakes at Arrowhead.

Take the Over 0.5 Drew Lock interceptions (-200). If you that is too juicy for your liking, add Kyle Allen Over 0.5 INTs for a -105 payout if your book lets you parlay player props.

GIVE IT AWAY

Last week, away favorites went 4-1 ATS pushing their monthly total to 17-9 (65%). On the year, road chalk has hit at 53%. This week, the New England Patriots (-9.5 @ CIN), Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5 @ WSH), Seattle Seahawks (-6.5 @ CAR), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5 @ DET), Cleveland Browns (-3 @ ARZ), Minnesota Vikings (-2.5 @ LAC) and the Los Angeles Rams (-1.5 @ DAL) round out the list of road favorites.

Of these matchups, we are more confident with the Buccaneers. Tampa has the best run defense in the league and should stuff Detroit running back Bo Scarborough who is averaging nearly 20 carries a game since Week 12. The Bucs have the best chance to win if they force David Blough and his 38.3 QBR to keep up with Jameis Winston through the air.

Tampa has a great chance to cover 3.5 points against a Bottom-10 defense and an offense that gained just 231 yards last week. Ride the away favorites trend and take the Buccaneers -3.5.

OF MOSTERT AND MEN

San Francisco running back Raheem Mostert has separated himself with the 49ers RBBC and has been given the most opportunities of late. Niners coach Kyle Shannahan has said the RB has deserved the extra attention in the offense as Mostert has four touchdowns in his last three games.

Mostert saw 40 of his team’s 63 offensive snaps and had the only two RB red zone carries last week. This also comes on the heels of him seeing 74 percent of the offensive snaps in Week 13. This week the Monster will face a middle-of-the-pack Atlanta rush defense that doesn’t have anything to play for.

We are backing Mostert to score a rushing TD for the fourth straight game.

Complete 2019-20 college football bowl schedule: Matchup dates and odds for every game

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It’s December, which means it’s everyone’s favorite time of the year: college football bowl season! The college football regular season might be over, but the FBS bowl season will keep NCAAF bettors well-fed during the winter holidays. The main course will be the two games in the College Football Playoff involving LSU, Ohio State, Clemson and Oklahoma, but there are 37 other bowl games to whet your appetite for college football betting action.

Here’s a quick look at all the matchups, dates, times, locations, betting odds for all the bowl games:

DEC. 20

MAKERS WANTED BAHAMAS BOWL

Buffalo Bulls vs Charlotte 49ers
Location: Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas
Time/TV: 2:00 PM ET, ESPN

TROPICAL SMOOTHIE CAFE FRISCO BOWL

Utah State Aggies vs Kent State Golden Flashes
Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ESPN2

DEC. 21

NEW MEXICO BOWL

Central Michigan Chippewas vs San Diego State Aztecs
Location:
Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Time/TV: 2 PM ET, ESPN

CURE BOWL

Liberty Flames vs Georgia Southern Eagles
Location: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Time/TV: 2:30 PM ET, CBS Sports Network

CHERIBUNDI BOCA RATON BOWL

Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Florida Atlantic Owls
Location: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida
Time/TV: 3:30 PM ET, ABC

CAMELLIA BOWL

Florida International vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
Location: Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, Alabama
Time/TV: 5:30 PM ET, ESPN

MITSUBISHI MOTORS LAS VEGAS BOWL

(19) Boise State Broncos vs Washington Huskies
Location: Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ABC

R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL

(20) Appalachian State Mountaineers vs UAB Blazers
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Time/TV: 9 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 23

BAD BOY MOWERS GASPARILLA BOWL

UCF Knights vs Marshall Thundering Herd
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Time/TV: 2:30 PM ET, ESPN

SOFI HAWAII BOWL

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs BYU Cougars
Location: Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, Hawaii
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 26

WALK-ON’S INDEPENDENCE BOWL

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Miami Hurricanes
Location: Independence Stadium, Shreveport, Louisiana
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, ESPN

QUICK LANE BOWL

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 27

MILITARY BOWL PRESENTED BY NORTHROP GRUMMAN

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Temple Owls
Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
Time/TV: Noon ET, ESPN

NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL

Michigan State Spartans vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, New York
Time/TV: 3:20 PM ET, ESPN

ACADEMY SPORTS + OUTDOOR TEXAS BOWL

(25) Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas A&M Aggies
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Time/TV: 6:45 PM ET, ESPN

SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION HOLIDAY BOWL

(22) USC Trojans vs (16) Iowa Hawkeyes
Location: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, California
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, Fox Sports 1

CHEEZ-IT BOWL

Air Force Falcons vs Washington State Cougars
Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Time/TV: 10:15 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 28

CAMPING WORLD BOWL

(15) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Iowa State Cyclones
Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Time/TV: Noon ET, ABC

GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC

(17) Memphis Tigers vs (10) Penn State Nittany Lions
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Time/TV: Noon ET, ESPN

CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL

(4) Oklahoma Sooners vs (1) LSU Tigers
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, ESPN

PLAYSTATION FIESTA BOWL

(2) Ohio State Buckeyes vs (3) Clemson Tigers
Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 30

SERVPRO FIRST RESPONDER BOWL

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Western Michigan Broncos
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dalla, Texas
Time/TV: 12:30 PM ET, ESPN

FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Louisville Cardinals
Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, ESPN

REDBOX BOWL

California Golden Bears vs Illinois Fighting Illini
Location: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Time/TV: 4 PM ET, Fox

CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL

(9) Florida Gators vs (24) Virginia Cavaliers
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Time/TV: 8 PM ET, ESPN

DEC. 31

BELK BOWL

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Kentucky Wildcats
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Time/TV: Noon ET, ESPN

TONY THE TIGER SUN BOWL

Florida State Seminoles vs Arizona State Sun Devils
Location: Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas
Time/TV: 2 PM ET, CBS

AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL

(23) Navy Midshipmen vs Kansas State Wildcats
Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: 3:45 PM ET, ESPN

NOVA HOME LOANS ARIZONA BOWL

Wyoming Cowboys vs Georgia State Panthers
Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona
Time/TV: 4:30 PM ET, CBS Sports Network

VALERO ALAMO BOWL

(11) Utah Utes vs Texas Longhorns
Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 1

VRBO CITRUS BOWL

(14) Michigan Wolverines vs (13) Alabama Crimson Tide
Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Time/TV: 1 PM ET, ABC

OUTBACK BOWL

(18) Minnesota Golden Gophers vs (12) Auburn Tigers
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Time/TV: 1 PM ET, ESPN

ROSE BOWL PRESENTED BY NORTHWESTERN MUTAL

(8) Wisconsin Badgers vs (6) Oregon Ducks
Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
Time/TV: 5 PM ET, ESPN

ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL

(7) Baylor Bears vs (5) Georgia Bulldogs
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Time/TV: 8:45 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 2

TICKETSMARTER BIRMINGHAM BOWL

Boston College Eagles vs (21) Cincinnati Bearcats
Location: Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama
Time/TV: 3 PM ET, ESPN

TAXSLAYER GATORBOWL

Indiana Hoosiers vs Tennessee Volunteers
Location: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
Time/TV: 7 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 3

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL

Ohio Bobcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack
Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
Time/TV: 3:30 PM ET, ESPN

JAN. 4

LOCKHEED MARTIN ARMED FORCES BOWL

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Tulane Green Wave
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
Time/TV: 11:30 AM ET, ESPN

JAN. 6

LENDINGTREE BOWL

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs Miami (OH) RedHawks
Location: Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ESPN