Profit from this pass-happy rivalry in Week 2, and more NFL betting odds and picks

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The NFL Week 2 odds are on the board and as we get closer to kickoff, those betting menus will explode with options beyond just the NFL spreads and totals. We dive into the best bets and picks for Week 2 – from team and player props to value derivative predictions.

LACKLUSTER AT LAMBEAU

The Minnesota Vikings showed off their running game versus the Atlanta Falcons last week. The Vikes ran it early and often as they jumped out to a comfortable 21-point lead after 30 minutes and passed just 10 times while controlling the ball for roughly 50 percent of the game.

It seems Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer has a game plan with the lead: slow it down. In total, the Vikings had just 48 offensive plays and ran the ball successfully — 4.5 yards per carry — 38 times.

They will struggle to find that same success versus the Green Bay Packers in Wisconsin Sunday. The Pack’s defense allowed just 46 yards on 15 carries with a long of eight against the Chicago Bears on Thursday.

With both teams possibly looking to establish the run and manage the clock early in what could be a cold, wet day at Lambeau Field, take the first-half Under at 22.5

ON CROWDER NINE

Although Sam Darnold put up just 175 passing yards versus a solid Bills defense, he has found his new chain-moving target in Jamison Crowder. The first-year Jet played the third most snaps by a New York receiver but converted that into a league-high 17 targets, catching 14 of Darnold’s 28 completions.

The Jets will face off against the Cleveland Browns on Monday, as the Browns will want to play to their strengths in the passing game after getting embarrassed at home last week. We don’t expect Crowder to see another 17 targets but are willing to put our money on him hauling in a minimum of five or six balls playing primarily out of the slot and avoiding Browns DB Denzel Ward.

Take the Over on Crowder’s total receptions on any number below seven, depending where you play.

CAPITAL GAINS

Since the Amari Cooper trade last season, Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is averaging 287.3 yards passing per game. He’s also coming off a four-hundred yard, four-TD performance over the New York Giants.

Facing the Cowboys this week is Washington Redskins QB Case Keenum, who’s also coming in hot, having made 30 completions for 380 yards last week. The Reskins may be forced to throw even more with the injury to starting running back Derrius Guice. Even with Guice, Washington rushed the ball on just 23 percent of its offensive snaps in the second-half collapse to the Philadelphia Eagles.

With the Cowboys getting chunks of yardage by using play-action or R.P.O on 46.6 percent of their offensive plays last week, expect another high-scoring affair in Washington. The Over is 6-1 in the last seven matchups between these classic rivals and after an opening of 44, the total sits at 46.5.

There’s still value here so feel comfortable taking the Over 46.5 in a game that may see 80 pass attempts.

NO JOSHING AROUND

Oakland Raiders rookie running back Josh Jacobs will head into his first matchup with divisional rivals Kansas City Chiefs on the heels of a 23-carry, 85-yard, one-TD performance.

Jacobs played 40 of 55 snaps in the Week 1 win over Denver Monday while fellow RB Jalen Richard received just one touch. Coach Jon Gruden and the Raiders are going to lean heavily on the former first-round pick.

Gruden told the media that he wants to see Jacobs get a similar workload in Week 2, meaning last week’s performance was no outlier.

Game flow may be a problem for the Raiders’ running attack versus MVP and the boys. It’s tough to run the ball that much when you’re down on the scoreboard and, according to the current spread (Kansas City -7.5), Oakland will be down on the scoreboard. But, we like the Jacobs’ anytime touchdown prop as opposed to the total yards Over/Under.

VanVleet picks up where he left off in the playoffs, and the NBA bets you need to make Tuesday

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Opening day of the 2019-20 NBA season is here with the defending champion Toronto Raptors hosting the New Orleans Pelicans. The late matchup pairs the top two choices to win it all, according to the NBA betting odds, with the Los Angeles Lakers taking on the new-look Los Angeles Clippers. 

If you’re betting on the NBA openers, we have the best bets and prop predictions for Tuesday’s two games.

BIG CHANGES IN THE BIG EASY

The Pelicans sport one of the most overhauled rosters in the NBA after trading Anthony Davis to the Lakers in exchange for Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram and draft picks. New Orleans then selected Zion Williamson first overall in the draft, but unfortunately, his debut will have to wait as he is expected to miss the first couple of weeks with a knee injury. Some more big pickups include Derrick Favors and J.J. Redick.

Although Redick is playing for a new squad this year, while with Philadelphia he had success versus the Raptors in the playoffs, shooting 43.9 percent from the field, 41 percent from beyond the arc, and scored 15 or more points in four of those seven postseason games. With an increased role on the Pelicans and some good shooting numbers, back Over his points total of 16.5 on PointsBet.

NO HANGOVER HERE

The Raptors kick their season off playing a double-header with the first game at home to the Pelicans. The 2018-2019 season saw the Raptors set franchise records in points per game, assists per game, rebounds per game, and 3-point shots made. A regression is expected with Toronto losing both Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green but still finds itself a 7-point favorite in the season opener.

With the Championship banner being hoisted, rings handed out, and the Raptors looking to start the schedule strong, look for them to take care of business and cover at home as 7-point favorites.

RIGHT SAID FRED

With Toronto PG Kyle Lowry undergoing surgery on his finger in the offseason, don’t be surprised to see big numbers out of Fred VanVleet in the first few games of the schedule.

Last season, VanVleet averaged 27.5 minutes with 11 points, 4.8 assists and 2.6 rebounds per game. Although this is a revamped Pelicans roster with many new faces, New Orleans struggled to defend opposing point guards last year, allowing 23.3 points per game and the league’s highest assists per game average at 9.1 to that position. If he carries over his postseason play, VanVleet will be a major player and offensive contributor for the defending champs. Take Over his assists total of 4.5.

BATTLE: LOS ANGELES

The Lakers start their second season with LeBron James at the helm but has more support behind him with guys like Anthony Davis, Dwight Howard, and Danny Green. The Clippers were also busy in the offseason, adding MVP talents in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George.

George will not be playing in the opening game (out until November while recovering from shoulder surgery), which plays a major role in shaping this spread, which sees the Purple and Gold as short “home” favorites in the war for the Staples Center.

LeBron and the Lakers have a lot to prove after a terrible finish to 2018-19 and we like them to cover as 2.5-points favorites Tuesday.

DOWN TO DEFENSE

With both Leonard and Patrick Beverly on the floor, the Clippers will be a difficult team to score on. With George out of action and this L.A. offense not firing on all cylinders, the Clippers certainly have the defense to keep things close.

The Lakers have plenty of scoring options but miss out on the services of Kyle Kuzma (18.7 ppg in 2018-19), who will be sitting out in the opening game with a foot injury. While it’s Game 1 of an 82-game season, this Los Angeles rivalry could have playoff intensity right out of the gate. We like a lower-scoring game and the Under 225.5 points Tuesday night. 

Lakers vs Clippers NBA betting picks and predictions: Davis will dominate down low on opening night

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The 2019-2020 NBA season starts off with a bang tonight as two revamped teams with some of the best players in the world take to the court in Los Angeles as the Lakers face the Clippers. 

Expectations are sky-high for both teams after the Lakers added Anthony Davis as a running mate for Lebron James, while the Clippers are led by last year’s NBA Finals MVP in Kawhi Leonard. These rivals will be highly motivated to begin the season with a win and stake an early claim as the best team in the league.

We break down the odds for the Battle of L.A. and give you five of our best bets and predictions.

QUICK HITTER

The biggest move the Lakers made in the offseason was obviously the addition of Anthony Davis. But he’s not the only new face with Danny Green, Quinn Cook, Dwight Howard, and Avery Bradley all in line to receive significant minutes in their rotation.

The Clippers have also gone through a makeover adding Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, and Maurice Harkless. While George won’t play until at least mid-November after undergoing shoulder surgery, the other two should log major minutes.

Playing together in practice and the preseason is no substitute for the actual defensive intensity of an NBA game. So expect both offenses to take some time to gell and back the Under on the 1Q total.

PICK: First Quarter Under 58 (-115)

FIRST HALF BET

The first quarter might see from offensive jitters from both teams but they should begin to settle down after 12 minutes. Lebron James, in particular, should have little problem facilitating the offense while the underrated additions of Green and Cook should improve their three-point efficiency which was among the worst in the league last year.

On defense, they match up well with the Clippers with Lebron able to switch onto Leonard while Bradley can give Lou Williams fits. Rajon Rondo is listed as questionable with a calf injury but if he’s good to go that will be yet another Lakers defender that can pressure opposing ball-handlers.

The Lakers also have a height advantage which should help them win the battle on the boards and get more second chances. Bet on the Lakers to cover the short first-half spread.

PICK: First Half Lakers -1.5 (-120)

TEAM/PLAYER PROP

Davis looks like a great fit in the Lakers offense next to Lebron. The Brow can run the pick and roll, attack down low and hit jumpers when he needs to. He gets to face a Clippers team that was among the worst at defending inside last season, giving up 50.7 points per game in the paint. Montrezl Harrell, Ivica Zubac and JaMychal Green will have a major mismatch on their hands against the Lakers star.

Last year Davis combined for 41.8 points, rebounds and assists per game but that includes a stretch towards the end of the season where New Orleans severely limited his minutes. Before the All-Star break, he combined for 45.2 points, rebounds, and assists per contest. Take the Over on his PRA total tonight.

PICK: Anthony Davis – Points, Rebounds and Assists Over 41.5 (-115)

 

FULL GAME TOTAL

The O/U for this game opened at 227 on Saturday and has already dropped to 224 and for good reason. The Clippers should be terrific at defending on the perimeter with Patrick Beverly and Leonard while the Lakers will miss Kyle Kuzma’s production on the offensive end of the floor. Kuzma averaged 18.7 ppg last season but the forward is still recovering from a foot injury.

The Lakers should be much improved at defending the rim with Davis and Howard, which will force Leonard and Lou Williams to carry the offensive load.

The Lakers added plenty of experience and size in the offseason. That might be a formula for winning but also means that they added older players and guys that prefer to set up in the half-court rather than running the floor all game. Expect them to play at a slower pace than last season and take the Under 224.

PICK: Under 224 (-110)

FULL GAME SIDE

As we enter this new era of “Super-Duos” in the NBA the Clippers could find themselves at a disadvantage without one half of their duo. Leonard will do his part on both ends of the floor but the Clippers will need a heroic display from Lou Williams and improved defensive play from their big men if they want to hang with the Lakeshow.

The Clips won’t have an answer for AD and Lebron will come out as healthy and as motivated as he’s been in years. As the season goes on, expect Lakers coach Frank Vogel to start resting his superstars, but he has said that there won’t be any minutes restrictions for Lebron or Davis at the start of the year. Count on the Lakers viewing this as a statement game and back them to pull off the win while covering.

PICK: Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 (-105)